Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Tim Washe

Rising14 P in last 5 (2.00/GP before)
Rising+1:12 TOI a game

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tim Washe's 1.21.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Washe had 5 in 39 games.

This week McDavid has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Washe has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project McDavid for 6.1 to Washe's 2.3 over the games left.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 33 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Power-play share 88.5%, Points 138, Assists 90.

Washe's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 58.0%, Hits 91, Draw Equity /100 +0.069.

Head to head on the dot, Washe leads McDavid 19–10.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Connor McDavid rates ahead, +21.0 to -1.7 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: McDavid is rising, 14 P in last 5 (2.00/GP before); Washe is rising, +1:12 TOI a game.

  • • McDavid, 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 6 G, 20 A, 8 PPP, 22 SOG.
  • • Washe, 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 9 SOG.

Edmonton Oilers · Anaheim Ducks · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

+21.0

category z-score total

Tim Washe

-1.7

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Connor McDavid has the edge (McDavid wins 5, Washe wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMcDavidWashe
Goals / game0.620.12
Assists / game1.520.13
Plus/minus / game0.84-0.05
Power-play points / game0.740.00
Shots on goal / game3.250.90
Hits / game0.852.83

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Washe

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidWashe
5Team record in 10 meetings5
16Points in those games1

McDavid 4G 12A, 32 SOG · Washe 0G 1A, 8 SOG

10Faceoffs against each other19

McDavid's offensive zone 7–12 · neutral 0–5 · McDavid's defensive zone 3–2 (2025-26 to 2026-27)

0Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other1

McDavid blocked 0 of Washe's shots; Washe blocked 1 of McDavid's.

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

36:24 at 5-on-5 over 9 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
39–26
60.0%
Expected goals
1.4–0.7
68.1%
Goals
4–1

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Tim Washe
DateScoreMcDavidWashe
2026-10-07EDM 5–2 ANA1G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-30 · POEDM 2–5 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2026-04-28 · POEDM 4–1 ANA0G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S
2026-04-26 · POEDM 3–4 ANA0G 2A 3S0G 0A 0S
2026-04-24 · POEDM 4–7 ANA1G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2026-04-22 · POEDM 4–6 ANA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-20 · POEDM 4–3 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2026-03-28EDM 4–2 ANA1G 2A 6S0G 0A 3S
2026-02-25EDM 5–6 ANA0G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-26EDM 7–4 ANA1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S

Faceoffs: McDavid vs Washe

Model: Connor McDavid wins 43.2% of draws against Tim Washe on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Connor McDavid's predicted win % against Tim Washe at each dot, in McDavid's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
McDavid atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home52%33%53%34%43%53%34%54%35%
Road51%32%52%33%43%52%33%53%34%

Head-to-head 2025-26 to 2026-27: McDavid 10–19 (34.5%). Blended with the model: 42.7%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.9); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

McDavid faceoffs · Washe faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidWashe

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

McDavidWashe

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Edmonton Oilers logo

Connor McDavid

3games (2 left)

6.1proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs MIN
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs CAR2.9 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to Cvs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs TOR3.2 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −2.7 win%Likely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
Anaheim Ducks logo

Tim Washe

4games (2 left)

2.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ NYR
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NYIB2B
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ NJD1.1 pts
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to Cvs Nico Daws (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ PHI1.2 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Tim Washe in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tim Washe's 1.21. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Washe had 5 in 39 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Tim Washe?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 33 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Washe done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 5–5. McDavid had 16 points (4 goals) and Washe had 1 (0 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Washe?
Against each other, McDavid has won 10 and Washe 19 of their 29 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →