Who to start · 2026-27

Dawson Mercer vs Jake Neighbours

vs
Rising6 P in last 5 (0.45/GP before)
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 1.02 (was 2.09)

In 2026-27, Jake Neighbours scored 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dawson Mercer's 1.49.

Mercer had 12 points in 21 games; Neighbours had 9 in 20 games.

This week Mercer has no games left; Neighbours has no games left.

Dawson Mercer has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Mercer's biggest edges: Fenwick 53.8%, Corsi 53.4%, Expected goals 53.0%.

Neighbours's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 20, Hits 61, On-ice PDO 1037.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Jake Neighbours rates ahead, +0.7 to -1.4 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Mercer is rising, 6 P in last 5 (0.45/GP before); Neighbours is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.02 (was 2.09).

  • • Mercer, last 10 games (Oct 27–Nov 14): 5 G, 3 A, 2 PPP, 19 SOG.
  • • Neighbours, last 10 games (Oct 24–Nov 14): 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 15 SOG.

Winnipeg Jets · St. Louis Blues · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dawson Mercer

-1.4

category z-score total

Jake Neighbours

+0.7

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Jake Neighbours has the edge (Mercer wins 3, Neighbours wins 3 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMercerNeighbours
Goals / game0.240.20
Assists / game0.330.25
Plus/minus / game-0.100.05
Power-play points / game0.100.20
Shots on goal / game2.051.50
Hits / game0.673.05

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Mercer vs Neighbours

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MercerNeighbours
4Team record in 8 meetings4
1Points in those games2

Mercer 1G 0A, 16 SOG · Neighbours 1G 1A, 15 SOG

1Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Mercer's side)

9:28 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Mercer's side

Shot attempts
18–5
78.3%
Expected goals
0.9–0.1
90.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Dawson Mercer and Jake Neighbours
DateScoreMercerNeighbours
2026-02-28NJD 3–1 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-26NJD 3–2 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-17NJD 4–1 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-27NJD 0–3 STL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-03-07NJD 4–1 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-03NJD 1–4 STL0G 0A 4S1G 0A 4S
2023-02-16NJD 2–4 STL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-05NJD 3–5 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MercerNeighbours

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

MercerNeighbours

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Winnipeg Jets logo

Dawson Mercer

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

St. Louis Blues logo

Jake Neighbours

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Nov 10 vs DET
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.862)
  • Thu, Nov 12 @ UTA
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.872)
  • Sat, Nov 14 vs FLA
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.906)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Dawson Mercer or Jake Neighbours in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Jake Neighbours scored 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dawson Mercer's 1.49. Mercer had 12 points in 21 games; Neighbours had 9 in 20 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dawson Mercer or Jake Neighbours?
On 2026-27 numbers, Dawson Mercer leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Mercer and Neighbours done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Mercer's team went 4–4. Mercer had 1 points (1 goals) and Neighbours had 2 (1 goals).

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →