Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Denver Barkey vs Nathan MacKinnon

SteadyPP1 in 4 of last 5 (was 0 of 20)
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Denver Barkey's 0.88.

Barkey had 17 points in 43 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Barkey has 2 games left; MacKinnon has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 5.9 to Barkey's 2.0 over the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Barkey's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.31, Ascension score 46, High-danger chances 55.7%.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.83, Shots on goal 350, On-ice PDO 1054.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to -2.5 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Barkey is steady, PP1 in 4 of last 5 (was 0 of 20); MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.

Philadelphia Flyers · Colorado Avalanche · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Denver Barkey

-2.5

category z-score total

Nathan MacKinnon

+14.0

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (Barkey wins 1, MacKinnon wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryBarkeyMacKinnon
Goals / game0.080.64
Assists / game0.310.96
Plus/minus / game-0.130.43
Power-play points / game0.150.30
Shots on goal / game0.834.38
Hits / game0.960.68

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Barkey vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BarkeyMacKinnon
2Team record in 2 meetings0
3Points in those games2

Barkey 1G 2A, 2 SOG · MacKinnon 0G 2A, 2 SOG

On the ice against each other (Barkey's side)

5:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Barkey's side

Shot attempts
3–7
30.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
39.7%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Denver Barkey and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreBarkeyMacKinnon
2026-10-19PHI 3–2 COL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-23PHI 7–3 COL1G 1A 2S0G 2A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BarkeyMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Philadelphia Flyers logo

Denver Barkey

3games (2 left)

2.0proj. ESPN default pts

Colorado Avalanche logo

Nathan MacKinnon

4games (2 left)

5.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ PHI
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Denver Barkey or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Denver Barkey's 0.88. Barkey had 17 points in 43 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Denver Barkey or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Barkey and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Barkey's team went 2–0. Barkey had 3 points (1 goals) and MacKinnon had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →