Who to start · 2025-26
Gabriel Vilardi vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.
Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Vilardi has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.6.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Vilardi's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1018, Luck Meter +22, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.74.
Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 57.8%, Draw Equity /100 +0.096, Hits 114.
Head to head on the dot, Hertl leads Vilardi 21–11.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Gabriel Vilardi
1.76
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.
| Points per game from | Vilardi | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.51 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Vilardi 3G 7A, 22 SOG · Hertl 6G 4A, 58 SOG
Vilardi's offensive zone 3–6 · neutral 6–9 · Vilardi's defensive zone 2–6 (2020-21 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)
9:51 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–6
- 64.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.2
- 79.9%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Vilardi | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | WPG 2–6 VGK | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-03-24 | WPG 4–1 VGK | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-01-06 | WPG 3–4 VGK | 0G 2A 1S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2024-12-12 | WPG 2–3 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-29 | WPG 3–4 VGK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-04 | WPG 2–1 SJS | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-12 | WPG 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-11 | LAK 4–3 SJS | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-17 | LAK 3–2 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-25 | LAK 5–2 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-03-17 | LAK 3–0 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2021-04-10 | LAK 4–2 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Gabriel Vilardi
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANALikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Vilardi and Hertl done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 8–10. Vilardi had 10 points (3 goals) and Hertl had 10 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Vilardi or Hertl?
- Against each other, Vilardi has won 11 and Hertl 21 of their 32 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →