Who to start · 2026-27

Jack Eichel vs Tommy Novak

CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.41 (was 3.18)
SteadyLine Watch: moved down a line Nov 7

In 2026-27, Jack Eichel scored 2.49 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tommy Novak's 1.71.

Eichel had 26 points in 21 games; Novak had 15 in 20 games.

This week Eichel has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Novak has no games left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Eichel for 2.9 to Novak's 0.0 over the games left.

Jack Eichel has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Eichel's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.3, 20+ mph bursts 89, Ice-time share 33.1%.

Novak's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.032, Ascension score 79, Forecheck xG /60 0.47.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Jack Eichel rates ahead, +5.5 to +0.2 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Eichel is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.41 (was 3.18); Novak is steady, Line Watch: moved down a line Nov 7.

  • • Eichel, last 10 games (Oct 22–Nov 13): 4 G, 4 A, 4 PPP, 28 SOG.
  • • Novak, last 10 games (Oct 22–Nov 14): 5 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 19 SOG.

Vegas Golden Knights · Pittsburgh Penguins · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jack Eichel

+5.5

category z-score total

Tommy Novak

+0.2

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Jack Eichel has the edge (Eichel wins 6, Novak wins 0 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryEichelNovak
Goals / game0.430.40
Assists / game0.810.35
Plus/minus / game0.330.10
Power-play points / game0.480.25
Shots on goal / game2.671.75
Hits / game0.330.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Eichel vs Novak

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

EichelNovak
5Team record in 9 meetings4
9Points in those games8

Eichel 1G 8A, 22 SOG · Novak 3G 5A, 18 SOG

6Faceoffs against each other2

Eichel's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 2–1 · Eichel's defensive zone 2–1 (2024-25 to 2026-27)

On the ice against each other (Eichel's side)

8:21 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Eichel's side

Shot attempts
6–11
35.3%
Expected goals
0.6–1.0
36.7%
Goals
2–2

Games against each other

Games between Jack Eichel and Tommy Novak
DateScoreEichelNovak
2026-11-03VGK 3–2 PIT0G 2A 1S1G 1A 5S
2026-10-17VGK 6–2 PIT0G 2A 0S0G 2A 1S
2026-03-12VGK 6–2 PIT1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2026-03-01VGK 0–5 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2025-03-07VGK 4–0 PIT0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-14VGK 3–5 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-26VGK 4–5 NSH0G 1A 7S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-04VGK 2–3 NSH0G 1A 5S2G 1A 4S
2023-02-07VGK 5–1 NSH0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S

Faceoffs: Eichel vs Novak

Model: Jack Eichel wins 55.7% of draws against Tommy Novak on average (R shot vs L shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.

Jack Eichel's predicted win % against Tommy Novak at each dot, in Eichel's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Eichel atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home57%53%58%55%56%58%55%59%56%
Road56%52%57%53%55%57%53%58%54%

Head-to-head 2024-25 to 2026-27: Eichel 6–2 (75.0%). Blended with the model: 56.0%. The record is a bit unusual for this matchup (z 1.1); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Eichel faceoffs · Novak faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

EichelNovak

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

EichelNovak

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Vegas Golden Knights logo

Jack Eichel

3games (1 left)

2.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Nov 11 vs UTA
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Sebastian Cossa (.862)
  • Fri, Nov 13 vs NSH
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Juuse Saros (.922)
  • Sun, Nov 15 vs VAN2.9 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge −3.1 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.885)
Pittsburgh Penguins logo

Tommy Novak

2games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Jack Eichel or Tommy Novak in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Jack Eichel scored 2.49 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tommy Novak's 1.71. Eichel had 26 points in 21 games; Novak had 15 in 20 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jack Eichel or Tommy Novak?
On 2026-27 numbers, Jack Eichel leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Eichel and Novak done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Eichel's team went 5–4. Eichel had 9 points (1 goals) and Novak had 8 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Eichel or Novak?
Against each other, Eichel has won 6 and Novak 2 of their 8 head-to-head draws.

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →