Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jack McBain vs Mark Kastelic

CoolingixG/60 0.52 (was 1.12)
CoolingixG/60 0.54 (was 0.98)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Kastelic projects to 1.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jack McBain's 1.20.

McBain had 25 points in 75 games; Kastelic had 22 in 82 games.

This week McBain has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Kastelic has 2 left with 2 soft matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project McBain for 2.4 to Kastelic's 2.4 over the games left.

Jack McBain has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

McBain's biggest edges: High-danger chances 55.9%, Corsi 53.5%, Fenwick 51.5%.

Kastelic's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.7, Hardest shot 92.3, Goals above expected −0.3.

Head to head on the dot, Kastelic leads McBain 7–5.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Jack McBain rates ahead, +1.8 to -0.2 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: McBain is cooling, ixG/60 0.52 (was 1.12); Kastelic is cooling, ixG/60 0.54 (was 0.98).

  • • McBain, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • Kastelic, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 1 G, 4 A, 0 PPP, 9 SOG.

Utah Mammoth · Boston Bruins · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jack McBain

+1.8

category z-score total

Mark Kastelic

-0.2

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Jack McBain has the edge (McBain wins 3, Kastelic wins 3 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMcBainKastelic
Goals / game0.110.13
Assists / game0.210.23
Plus/minus / game0.250.12
Power-play points / game0.000.01
Shots on goal / game1.251.09
Hits / game3.812.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: McBain vs Kastelic

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McBainKastelic
4Team record in 9 meetings5
3Points in those games3

McBain 2G 1A, 14 SOG · Kastelic 2G 1A, 8 SOG

5Faceoffs against each other7

McBain's offensive zone 3–3 · neutral 0–1 · McBain's defensive zone 2–3 (2022-23 to 2025-26)

2Hits on each other4
2Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (McBain's side)

8:13 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from McBain's side

Shot attempts
7–9
43.8%
Expected goals
0.8–0.1
83.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jack McBain and Mark Kastelic
DateScoreMcBainKastelic
2026-10-08UTA 1–6 BOS1G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-16UTA 1–4 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-19UTA 3–2 BOS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-21UTA 0–1 BOS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-19UTA 2–1 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-01ARI 5–3 OTT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-19ARI 4–3 OTT1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-12ARI 3–5 OTT0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2022-10-22ARI 2–6 OTT0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S

Faceoffs: McBain vs Kastelic

Model: Jack McBain wins 42.8% of draws against Mark Kastelic on average (L shot vs R shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.

Jack McBain's predicted win % against Mark Kastelic at each dot, in McBain's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
McBain atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home41%43%42%44%43%42%44%44%46%
Road40%42%41%43%43%41%43%42%44%

Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: McBain 3–5 (37.5%). Blended with the model: 42.7%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.3); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

McBain faceoffs · Kastelic faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McBainKastelic

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

McBainKastelic

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Utah Mammoth logo

Jack McBain

3games (2 left)

2.4proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 vs PIT
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ SEA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs TBL1.1 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Boston Bruins logo

Mark Kastelic

3games (2 left)

2.4proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 @ DAL
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs NSH1.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs SJS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

FAQ

Should I start Jack McBain or Mark Kastelic in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Kastelic projects to 1.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jack McBain's 1.20. McBain had 25 points in 75 games; Kastelic had 22 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jack McBain or Mark Kastelic?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jack McBain leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McBain and Kastelic done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, McBain's team went 4–5. McBain had 3 points (2 goals) and Kastelic had 3 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, McBain or Kastelic?
Against each other, McBain has won 5 and Kastelic 7 of their 12 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →