Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jamie Drysdale vs Nathan MacKinnon

CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 0.90 (was 2.29)
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jamie Drysdale's 1.25.

Drysdale had 32 points in 78 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Drysdale has 2 games left; MacKinnon has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 5.9 to Drysdale's 2.5 over the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Drysdale's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.037, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.20, Shorthanded points 0.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.83, Plus/minus +57, Corsi 57.6%.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to -2.2 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Drysdale is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 0.90 (was 2.29); MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 15 SOG.
  • • Last 10 games (Oct 1–Oct 19): 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 15 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.

Philadelphia Flyers · Colorado Avalanche · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jamie Drysdale

-2.2

category z-score total

Nathan MacKinnon

+14.0

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (Drysdale wins 0, MacKinnon wins 6 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryDrysdaleMacKinnon
Goals / game0.060.64
Assists / game0.180.96
Plus/minus / game-0.180.43
Power-play points / game0.070.30
Shots on goal / game1.324.38
Hits / game0.350.68

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Drysdale vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DrysdaleMacKinnon
2Team record in 10 meetings8
1Points in those games16

Drysdale 1G 0A, 14 SOG · MacKinnon 4G 12A, 42 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Drysdale blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Drysdale's.

On the ice against each other (Drysdale's side)

13:08 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Drysdale's side

Shot attempts
13–18
41.9%
Expected goals
1.3–0.6
68.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Jamie Drysdale and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreDrysdaleMacKinnon
2026-10-19PHI 3–2 COL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-23PHI 7–3 COL0G 0A 0S0G 2A 1S
2025-12-07PHI 2–3 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 6S
2025-02-02PHI 0–2 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2024-01-20PHI 4–7 COL0G 0A 2S2G 2A 4S
2022-01-19ANA 0–2 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-02ANA 2–4 COL0G 0A 1S0G 3A 6S
2021-04-11ANA 1–4 COL1G 0A 3S1G 1A 7S
2021-04-09ANA 0–2 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 6S
2021-03-29ANA 2–5 COL0G 0A 0S0G 2A 7S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DrysdaleMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Jamie Drysdale

3games (2 left)

2.5proj. ESPN default pts

Nathan MacKinnon

4games (2 left)

5.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ PHI
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Jamie Drysdale or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jamie Drysdale's 1.25. Drysdale had 32 points in 78 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jamie Drysdale or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Drysdale and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Drysdale's team went 2–8. Drysdale had 1 points (1 goals) and MacKinnon had 16 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →