Who to start · 2025-26
Jason Robertson vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Robertson has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Robertson for 2.7 ESPN points to Aho's 2.2.
Jason Robertson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Robertson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1036, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022.
Aho's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 596, 20+ mph bursts 128, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jason Robertson
2.44
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jason Robertson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Robertson | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Robertson vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Robertson 6G 12A, 36 SOG · Aho 6G 9A, 34 SOG
Robertson blocked 1 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 0 of Robertson's.
On the ice against each other (Robertson's side)
5:34 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Robertson's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–5
- 61.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.4
- 65.7%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Robertson | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | DAL 3–6 CAR | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-25 | DAL 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-21 | DAL 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-25 | DAL 4–6 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 3A 2S |
| 2024-02-24 | DAL 2–1 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-13 | DAL 4–2 CAR | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-01-25 | DAL 2–3 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-24 | DAL 4–3 CAR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2021-11-30 | DAL 4–1 CAR | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-04-27 | DAL 1–5 CAR | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2021-04-26 | DAL 4–3 CAR | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-04-04 | DAL 0–1 CAR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jason Robertson
2games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.7 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jason Robertson or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jason Robertson or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jason Robertson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Robertson and Aho done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Robertson's team went 7–8. Robertson had 18 points (6 goals) and Aho had 15 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →