Who to start · 2025-26
Sebastian Aho vs Tage Thompson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.
This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Aho's 2.2.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Fenwick 60.3%, Scoring chances 57.5%.
Thompson's biggest edges: Blocked shots 48, On-ice PDO 1014, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.35.
Head to head on the dot, Aho leads Thompson 13–11.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Tage Thompson
2.26
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Aho | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.72 | 0.93 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Aho vs Thompson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Aho 11G 11A, 51 SOG · Thompson 5G 5A, 42 SOG
Aho's offensive zone 10–7 · neutral 2–2 · Aho's defensive zone 1–2 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
Aho blocked 0 of Thompson's shots; Thompson blocked 1 of Aho's.
On the ice against each other (Aho's side)
6:05 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–2
- 85.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.2
- 83.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Aho | Thompson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | CAR 2–1 BUF | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2025-11-23 | CAR 1–4 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | CAR 6–3 BUF | 1G 1A 6S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-04-08 | CAR 0–3 BUF | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-27 | CAR 5–2 BUF | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-15 | CAR 2–4 BUF | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-02-25 | CAR 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-11-07 | CAR 3–2 BUF | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-04-08 | CAR 3–4 BUF | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-02-01 | CAR 5–1 BUF | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-04 | CAR 5–3 BUF | 3G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-04-07 | CAR 5–3 BUF | 2G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to C
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 16th-most FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to C
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Sebastian Aho or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Tage Thompson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Aho and Thompson done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 10–7. Aho had 22 points (11 goals) and Thompson had 10 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Aho or Thompson?
- Against each other, Aho has won 13 and Thompson 11 of their 24 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →