Who to start · 2025-26
Mikhail Sergachev vs Tage Thompson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15.
Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.
This week Sergachev has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Thompson's 2.6.
Mikhail Sergachev has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Sergachev's biggest edges: Goals above expected +0.6, Shorthanded points 2, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.
Thompson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1014, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.35, Offensive-zone start % 60.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mikhail Sergachev
2.15
fantasy points per game
Tage Thompson
2.26
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Sergachev | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.24 | 0.93 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.81 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Sergachev vs Thompson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Sergachev 3G 7A, 36 SOG · Thompson 7G 6A, 31 SOG
Sergachev blocked 2 of Thompson's shots; Thompson blocked 0 of Sergachev's.
On the ice against each other (Sergachev's side)
15:40 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Sergachev's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–9
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.1
- 80.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Sergachev | Thompson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | UTA 5–2 BUF | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-04 | UTA 2–1 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-20 | UTA 5–2 BUF | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-12-07 | UTA 5–2 BUF | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-17 | TBL 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-02-23 | TBL 5–6 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 3G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-04 | TBL 3–5 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-28 | TBL 6–5 BUF | 0G 3A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2022-11-05 | TBL 5–3 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-10 | TBL 5–0 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2021-10-25 | TBL 1–5 BUF | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2019-02-21 | TBL 2–1 BUF | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mikhail Sergachev
3games (2 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mikhail Sergachev or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15. Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mikhail Sergachev or Tage Thompson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mikhail Sergachev leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Sergachev and Thompson done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Sergachev's team went 10–5. Sergachev had 10 points (3 goals) and Thompson had 13 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →