Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Konsta Helenius vs Nathan MacKinnon

SteadyOn-ice xGF/60 2.19 (was 2.99)
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Konsta Helenius's 0.89.

Helenius had 4 points in 9 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Helenius has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; MacKinnon has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 5.9 to Helenius's 1.8 over the games left.

They split the 2 stats both are ranked on 1–1.

Helenius's biggest edges: Ascension score 50.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to -2.3 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Helenius is steady, On-ice xGF/60 2.19 (was 2.99); MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88).

  • • Konsta Helenius is a rookie: 13 NHL games before this season.
  • • Helenius has played 8 of the Sabres' 9 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 11 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.

Buffalo Sabres · Colorado Avalanche · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Konsta Helenius

-2.3

category z-score total

Nathan MacKinnon

+14.0

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (Helenius wins 1, MacKinnon wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryHeleniusMacKinnon
Goals / game0.120.64
Assists / game0.260.96
Plus/minus / game-0.100.43
Power-play points / game0.000.30
Shots on goal / game1.574.38
Hits / game1.070.68

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head

Konsta Helenius and Nathan MacKinnon have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HeleniusMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Konsta Helenius

2games

1.8proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.0 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH0.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)

Nathan MacKinnon

4games (2 left)

5.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ PHI
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Konsta Helenius or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Konsta Helenius's 0.89. Helenius had 4 points in 9 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Konsta Helenius or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 1–1 across 2 stats where both qualify.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →