Who to start · 2025-26
Linus Karlsson vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Linus Karlsson's 1.18.
Karlsson had 35 points in 79 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Karlsson has 2 games left; MacKinnon has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 5.9 to Karlsson's 2.3 over the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Karlsson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.019, Ascension score 67, Hits 83.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1054, Plus/minus +57, Transition attempts /60 1.83.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to -1.6 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Karlsson is steady, ixG/60 1.24 (was 0.62); MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88).
- • Karlsson, 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 3 G, 5 A, 1 PPP, 21 SOG.
- • Karlsson, last 10 games (Oct 1–Oct 20): 3 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 19 SOG.
- • MacKinnon, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.
Vancouver Canucks · Colorado Avalanche · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Linus Karlsson
-1.6
category z-score total
Nathan MacKinnon
+14.0
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (Karlsson wins 1, MacKinnon wins 5 of 6 categories).
| Category | Karlsson | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.22 | 0.64 |
| Assists / game | 0.34 | 0.96 |
| Plus/minus / game | -0.24 | 0.43 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.07 | 0.30 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.65 | 4.38 |
| Hits / game | 0.72 | 0.68 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Karlsson vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Karlsson 2G 0A, 6 SOG · MacKinnon 5G 3A, 22 SOG
On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)
12:40 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–16
- 40.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.8
- 36.0%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Karlsson | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | VAN 8–6 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2025-12-02 | VAN 1–3 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 6S |
| 2025-11-09 | VAN 4–5 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 2G 3A 4S |
| 2025-02-04 | VAN 3–0 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Linus Karlsson
3games (2 left)
2.3proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 vs CAROpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
- Thu, Oct 22 vs DET1.1 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 25 vs MIN1.2 pts
Nathan MacKinnon
4games (2 left)
5.9proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 @ PHIOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
- Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Linus Karlsson or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Linus Karlsson's 1.18. Karlsson had 35 points in 79 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Linus Karlsson or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Karlsson and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 2–2. Karlsson had 2 points (2 goals) and MacKinnon had 8 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →