Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan Winterton

SurgingixG/60 1.90 (was 1.10)
SteadyixG/60 1.03 (was 0.75)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Winterton's 1.07.

Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Winterton had 18 in 68 games.

This week Celebrini has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Winterton has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Celebrini for 5.3 to Winterton's 2.1 over the games left.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 625, Power-play time per game 3:36, Goals above expected +5.9.

Winterton's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.004, Forecheck xG /60 0.36, Transition attempts /60 1.70.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Macklin Celebrini rates ahead, +13.2 to -1.0 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Celebrini is surging, ixG/60 1.90 (was 1.10); Winterton is steady, ixG/60 1.03 (was 0.75).

  • • Celebrini has played 8 of the Sharks' 10 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • Celebrini, 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 8 PPP, 37 SOG.
  • • Winterton, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 2 G, 4 A, 0 PPP, 16 SOG.

San Jose Sharks · Seattle Kraken · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Macklin Celebrini

+13.2

category z-score total

Ryan Winterton

-1.0

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Macklin Celebrini has the edge (Celebrini wins 4, Winterton wins 2 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryCelebriniWinterton
Goals / game0.580.12
Assists / game0.950.28
Plus/minus / game0.060.20
Power-play points / game0.610.00
Shots on goal / game3.891.41
Hits / game0.640.85

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Winterton

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CelebriniWinterton
3Team record in 5 meetings2
8Points in those games1

Celebrini 2G 6A, 8 SOG · Winterton 1G 0A, 6 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Celebrini blocked 1 of Winterton's shots; Winterton blocked 0 of Celebrini's.

On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)

12:58 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side

Shot attempts
17–14
54.8%
Expected goals
0.7–0.8
45.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Macklin Celebrini and Ryan Winterton
DateScoreCelebriniWinterton
2025-12-20SJS 2–4 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-15SJS 1–4 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-05SJS 6–1 SEA1G 2A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-11-30SJS 4–2 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-29SJS 8–5 SEA1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CelebriniWinterton

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

CelebriniWinterton

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

San Jose Sharks logo

Macklin Celebrini

4games (2 left)

5.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ TOR
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT2.8 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Samuel Ersson (.870)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS2.5 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
Seattle Kraken logo

Ryan Winterton

3games (2 left)

2.1proj. ESPN default pts

FAQ

Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Ryan Winterton in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Winterton's 1.07. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Winterton had 18 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Ryan Winterton?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Celebrini and Winterton done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 3–2. Celebrini had 8 points (2 goals) and Winterton had 1 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →