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Who to start · 2025-26

Martin Necas vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Necas had 100 points in 78 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Necas has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Necas for 1.7 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Martin Necas has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Necas's biggest edges: Plus/minus +47, Hardest shot 93.4, Expected goals 56.8%.

Rielly's biggest edges: Ascension score 60, Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 114.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Martin Necas

2.40

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Martin Necas has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNecasRielly
Goals (+2)0.910.25
Assists (+1)0.810.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.17
Hits (+0.1)0.110.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Necas vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NecasRielly
8Team record in 15 meetings7
12Points in those games8

Necas 4G 8A, 46 SOG · Rielly 1G 7A, 30 SOG

1Hits on each other0
1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Necas's side)

4:16 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Necas's side

Shot attempts
3–6
33.3%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
36.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Martin Necas and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreNecasRielly
2026-01-25COL 4–1 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2026-01-12COL 3–4 TOR1G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-19COL 1–2 TOR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-08COL 7–4 TOR0G 1A 6S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-09CAR 6–3 TOR0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-24CAR 2–1 TOR0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-16CAR 5–4 TOR0G 0A 6S0G 2A 2S
2023-12-30CAR 3–2 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-25CAR 5–3 TOR0G 2A 2S0G 2A 0S
2023-03-17CAR 2–5 TOR1G 0A 2S1G 1A 4S
2022-11-06CAR 1–3 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-03-17CAR 2–3 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NecasRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Martin Necas

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.7 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Martin Necas or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Necas had 100 points in 78 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Martin Necas or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Martin Necas leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Necas and Rielly done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Necas's team went 8–7. Necas had 12 points (4 goals) and Rielly had 8 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →