Who to start · 2025-26
Noah Ostlund vs Trevor Zegras
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Trevor Zegras projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Ostlund's 1.13.
Ostlund had 27 points in 60 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.
This week Ostlund has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Zegras has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Zegras for 3.3 to Ostlund's 2.2 over the games left.
Trevor Zegras has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Ostlund's biggest edges: Ascension score 92, Hardest shot 87.3, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.07.
Zegras's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.69, Penalty minutes 62, Shots on goal 167.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Trevor Zegras rates ahead, +1.7 to +0.6 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Ostlund is surging, ixG/60 0.99 (was 0.61); Zegras is rising, ixG/60 1.36 (was 0.82).
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 20 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 2 G, 5 A, 2 PPP, 20 SOG.
- • Last 10 games (Oct 1–Oct 19): 2 G, 5 A, 2 PPP, 19 SOG.
Buffalo Sabres · Philadelphia Flyers · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Noah Ostlund
+0.6
category z-score total
Trevor Zegras
+1.7
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Trevor Zegras has the edge (Ostlund wins 1, Zegras wins 5 of 6 categories).
| Category | Ostlund | Zegras |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| Assists / game | 0.33 | 0.48 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.32 | -0.12 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.46 | 1.96 |
| Hits / game | 0.09 | 0.48 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Ostlund vs Zegras
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ostlund 1G 1A, 2 SOG · Zegras 2G 1A, 12 SOG
On the ice against each other (Ostlund's side)
12:34 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Ostlund's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–10
- 47.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.5
- 46.7%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ostlund | Zegras |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | BUF 5–2 PHI | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2025-12-18 | BUF 5–3 PHI | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-03 | BUF 2–5 PHI | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
Faceoffs: Ostlund vs Zegras
Model: Noah Ostlund wins 48.5% of draws against Trevor Zegras on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Ostlund at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 53% | 43% | 54% | 44% | 49% | 54% | 44% | 55% | 45% |
| Road | 52% | 42% | 53% | 43% | 48% | 53% | 43% | 54% | 44% |
They have not faced each other on a draw in the seasons we track.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Noah Ostlund
2games
2.2proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.3 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.0 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
Trevor Zegras
3games (2 left)
3.3proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 vs COLOpp allows 15th-most FP to CLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Wed, Oct 21 @ BUF1.7 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 vs ANA1.6 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Noah Ostlund or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Trevor Zegras projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Ostlund's 1.13. Ostlund had 27 points in 60 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Noah Ostlund or Trevor Zegras?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Trevor Zegras leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ostlund and Zegras done against each other?
- In 3 games against each other in our data, Ostlund's team went 2–1. Ostlund had 2 points (1 goals) and Zegras had 3 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →