Draw Duel
Anders Lee faceoff stats, 2025-26
UTA · L · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
44.7%
90%: 39.8%–49.7% vs an average regular, on 193 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
53.7%
65 won of 121 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
55.4% / 50.0%
83 strong-side, 26 weak-side draws this season
Next game
No projection scheduled.
Where Lee wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2026-27 and 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 73 | 40 | 54.8% |
| OZ right | 21 | 11 | 52.4% |
| NZ left (att.) | 3 | 3 | 100.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Centre | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| NZ left (def.) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| DZ left | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| DZ right | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R36.2%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L36.9%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R37.2%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R37.7%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L37.8%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L38.1%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L57.6%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L57.3%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L56.2%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L54.5%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L54.2%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R54.1%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 0.0% 1 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 | — 0 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 | — 0 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 |
| 2025-26 | 53.7% 121 | 54.7% 75 | 51.1% 45 | 100.0% 1 | 54.8% 93 | 57.9% 19 | 33.3% 9 | 55.4% 83 | 50.0% 26 |
| 2024-25 | 44.4% 27 | 36.4% 22 | 80.0% 5 | — 0 | 45.5% 22 | 0.0% 1 | 50.0% 4 | 44.4% 18 | 44.4% 9 |
| 2023-24 | 43.2% 44 | 41.0% 39 | 60.0% 5 | — 0 | 40.6% 32 | 33.3% 9 | 100.0% 3 | 48.6% 35 | 33.3% 6 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Gaudreau | 2–3 | 40.0% | 48.2% | 48.1% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Mika Zibanejad | 1–4 | 20.0% | 42.4% | 42.1% | a bit unusual (z -1.0) |
| Kevin Stenlund | 1–3 | 25.0% | 38.5% | 38.4% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Michael McCarron | 2–2 | 50.0% | 40.8% | 40.9% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Yanni Gourde | 2–1 | 66.7% | 50.5% | 50.6% | normal luck (z 0.6) |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 1–2 | 33.3% | 45.3% | 45.2% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Mark Kastelic | 2–1 | 66.7% | 37.9% | 38.1% | a bit unusual (z 1.0) |
| Adam Fantilli | 1–2 | 33.3% | 44.0% | 43.9% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Christian Dvorak | 0–3 | 0.0% | 34.7% | 34.5% | a bit unusual (z -1.3) |
| Claude Giroux | 0–3 | 0.0% | 33.6% | 33.4% | a bit unusual (z -1.2) |
| Dawson Mercer | 1–1 | 50.0% | 53.9% | 53.9% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Phillip Danault | 2–0 | 100.0% | 32.9% | 33.1% | unusual (z 2.0) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | vs CHI | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MTL | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
| 2026-04-11 | vs OTT | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs TOR | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ MTL | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ OTT | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-17 | @ TOR | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-14 | vs CGY | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-13 | vs LAK | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-10 | @ STL | 1 | 3 | 33.3% |
Projected faceoffs won
No upcoming games projected.
FAQ
What is Anders Lee's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Anders Lee's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Anders Lee win tonight?
When Anders Lee has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Anders Lee better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.