Draw Duel
Ben Kindel faceoff stats, 2025-26
PIT · C · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
43.3%
90%: 40.6%–46.0% vs an average regular, on 711 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
43.6%
283 won of 649 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
45.8% / 39.2%
369 strong-side, 125 weak-side draws this season
Next game
4.3 FOW
2026-10-05 vs WPG: 9 draws at 46.5%, range 1–7
Where Kindel wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 61 | 28 | 45.9% |
| OZ right | 170 | 79 | 46.5% |
| NZ left (att.) | 16 | 6 | 37.5% |
| NZ right (att.) | 25 | 11 | 44.0% |
| Centre | 155 | 65 | 41.9% |
| NZ left (def.) | 13 | 5 | 38.5% |
| NZ right (def.) | 22 | 11 | 50.0% |
| DZ left | 35 | 10 | 28.6% |
| DZ right | 152 | 68 | 44.7% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R35.2%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L35.3%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R36.1%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L36.3%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L36.6%
- Jack Drury NSH · L36.6%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L56.3%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L56.0%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L54.8%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L53.1%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L52.8%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R52.6%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 40.0% 10 | 44.4% 9 | — 0 | 0.0% 1 | 50.0% 4 | 40.0% 5 | 0.0% 1 | 42.9% 7 | 0.0% 1 |
| 2025-26 | 43.6% 649 | 42.6% 582 | 53.3% 45 | 50.0% 22 | 46.3% 231 | 42.4% 231 | 41.7% 187 | 45.8% 369 | 39.2% 125 |
| Playoffs (all) | 34.6% 52 | 35.4% 48 | 33.3% 3 | 0.0% 1 | 24.0% 25 | 40.0% 15 | 50.0% 12 | 42.9% 28 | 22.2% 18 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Dvorak | 7–15 | 31.8% | 39.7% | 39.4% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Noah Cates | 3–13 | 18.8% | 48.6% | 47.7% | unusual (z -2.4) |
| Logan Stankoven | 8–6 | 57.1% | 49.3% | 49.6% | normal luck (z 0.6) |
| Luke Glendening | 4–10 | 28.6% | 35.2% | 35.1% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Nazem Kadri | 6–7 | 46.2% | 46.8% | 46.8% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
| Trevor Zegras | 8–5 | 61.5% | 56.0% | 56.1% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Sean Couturier | 4–9 | 30.8% | 37.7% | 37.6% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Brendan Gaunce | 5–6 | 45.5% | 41.2% | 41.3% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Casey Cizikas | 3–7 | 30.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Tomas Nosek | 4–6 | 40.0% | 43.7% | 43.6% | normal luck (z -0.2) |
| Scott Laughton | 5–5 | 50.0% | 40.1% | 40.3% | normal luck (z 0.6) |
| Nick Paul | 3–7 | 30.0% | 41.7% | 41.5% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | vs MTL | 4 | 10 | 40.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | @ PHI | 4 | 13 | 30.8% |
| 2026-04-27 | vs PHI | 3 | 13 | 23.1% |
| 2026-04-25 | @ PHI | 2 | 5 | 40.0% |
| 2026-04-22 | @ PHI | 2 | 7 | 28.6% |
| 2026-04-20 | vs PHI | 2 | 6 | 33.3% |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PHI | 5 | 8 | 62.5% |
| 2026-04-14 | @ STL | 7 | 15 | 46.7% |
| 2026-04-09 | @ NJD | 4 | 7 | 57.1% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs FLA | 4 | 6 | 66.7% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-05 vs WPG likely opponents: Adam Lowry (41%), Jonathan Toews (36%)4.3 FOW 1–7
- 2026-10-07 vs WSH likely opponents: Dylan Strome (39%), Boone Jenner (40%)4.1 FOW 1–7
- 2026-10-09 vs CBJ likely opponents: Charlie Coyle (42%), Adam Fantilli (45%)4.1 FOW 1–7
- 2026-10-10 vs DAL likely opponents: Wyatt Johnston (49%), Roope Hintz (41%)4.2 FOW 1–7
FAQ
What is Ben Kindel's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Ben Kindel's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Ben Kindel win tonight?
When Ben Kindel has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Ben Kindel better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.