Draw Duel
Logan Stankoven faceoff stats, 2025-26
CAR · C · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
44.2%
90%: 42.1%–46.3% vs an average regular, on 1,416 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
44.3%
409 won of 923 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
45.3% / 40.8%
534 strong-side, 218 weak-side draws this season
Next game
5.0 FOW
2026-10-06 vs MTL: 11 draws at 44.1%, range 2–8
Where Stankoven wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 117 | 47 | 40.2% |
| OZ right | 309 | 137 | 44.3% |
| NZ left (att.) | 20 | 9 | 45.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 47 | 22 | 46.8% |
| Centre | 171 | 78 | 45.6% |
| NZ left (def.) | 45 | 21 | 46.7% |
| NZ right (def.) | 43 | 23 | 53.5% |
| DZ left | 36 | 12 | 33.3% |
| DZ right | 135 | 60 | 44.4% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R36.1%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L36.2%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R36.9%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L37.2%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L37.4%
- Jack Drury NSH · L37.4%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L57.2%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L56.9%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L55.7%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L54.0%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L53.7%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R53.5%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 33.3% 33 | 34.5% 29 | 25.0% 4 | — 0 | 23.5% 17 | 22.2% 9 | 71.4% 7 | 40.9% 22 | 20.0% 5 |
| 2025-26 | 44.3% 923 | 44.5% 822 | 42.1% 95 | 50.0% 6 | 43.2% 426 | 46.9% 326 | 42.1% 171 | 45.3% 534 | 40.8% 218 |
| 2024-25 | 45.1% 193 | 44.5% 173 | 52.6% 19 | 0.0% 1 | 35.5% 62 | 46.8% 62 | 52.2% 69 | 45.9% 146 | 33.3% 6 |
| 2023-24 | 64.7% 17 | 62.5% 16 | 100.0% 1 | — 0 | 66.7% 9 | 60.0% 5 | 66.7% 3 | 64.3% 14 | — 0 |
| Playoffs (all) | 46.0% 250 | 47.8% 224 | 28.0% 25 | 100.0% 1 | 41.0% 122 | 54.2% 83 | 44.4% 45 | 49.0% 149 | 33.3% 57 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Karlsson | 21–26 | 44.7% | 40.5% | 40.8% | normal luck (z 0.6) |
| Noah Cates | 22–19 | 53.7% | 49.5% | 49.8% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Christian Dvorak | 19–20 | 48.7% | 41.3% | 41.9% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
| Phillip Danault | 11–22 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 39.6% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Cody Glass | 10–13 | 43.5% | 41.2% | 41.3% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
| Shane Pinto | 12–11 | 52.2% | 44.0% | 44.3% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Sean Couturier | 9–14 | 39.1% | 38.5% | 38.5% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
| Jack Eichel | 13–9 | 59.1% | 46.7% | 47.2% | a bit unusual (z 1.2) |
| Quinton Byfield | 7–13 | 35.0% | 48.8% | 48.3% | a bit unusual (z -1.2) |
| Alex Newhook | 9–10 | 47.4% | 50.8% | 50.7% | normal luck (z -0.3) |
| Lars Eller | 8–11 | 42.1% | 43.6% | 43.5% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Sean Monahan | 11–7 | 61.1% | 42.6% | 43.3% | a bit unusual (z 1.6) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | @ PHI | 3 | 12 | 25.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | vs WSH | 3 | 13 | 23.1% |
| 2026-09-29 | vs FLA | 5 | 8 | 62.5% |
| 2026-06-14 | @ VGK | 4 | 16 | 25.0% |
| 2026-06-11 | vs VGK | 4 | 8 | 50.0% |
| 2026-06-09 | @ VGK | 3 | 9 | 33.3% |
| 2026-06-06 | @ VGK | 10 | 19 | 52.6% |
| 2026-06-04 | vs VGK | 7 | 11 | 63.6% |
| 2026-06-02 | vs VGK | 8 | 16 | 50.0% |
| 2026-05-29 | vs MTL | 3 | 8 | 37.5% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-06 vs MTL likely opponents: Nick Suzuki (45%), Phillip Danault (41%)5.0 FOW 2–8
- 2026-10-08 vs VAN likely opponents: Elias Pettersson (48%), Aatu Räty (37%)5.2 FOW 2–9
- 2026-10-10 vs CHI likely opponents: Frank Nazar (49%), Anton Frondell (61%)6.1 FOW 2–10
- 2026-10-11 vs PHI likely opponents: Christian Dvorak (40%), Noel Acciari (45%)5.2 FOW 2–9
FAQ
What is Logan Stankoven's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Logan Stankoven's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Logan Stankoven win tonight?
When Logan Stankoven has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Logan Stankoven better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.