Draw Duel
Stephen Halliday faceoff stats, 2025-26
OTT · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
38.6%
90%: 33.1%–44.4% vs an average regular, on 70 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
38.8%
26 won of 67 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
34.1% / 50.0%
41 strong-side, 18 weak-side draws this season
Next game
0.3 FOW
2026-10-05 vs BOS: 1 draws at 37.5%, range 0–1
Where Halliday wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2026-27 and 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 24 | 9 | 37.5% |
| OZ right | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| NZ left (att.) | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| NZ right (att.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| Centre | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| NZ left (def.) | 4 | 0 | 0.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| DZ left | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| DZ right | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R30.7%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L31.2%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R31.6%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R32.0%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L32.1%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L32.3%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L51.5%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L51.2%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L50.0%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L48.3%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L48.0%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R47.8%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 66.7% 3 | 66.7% 3 | — 0 | — 0 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 | 100.0% 2 | 0.0% 1 | 100.0% 2 |
| 2025-26 | 38.8% 67 | 37.7% 61 | 50.0% 6 | — 0 | 45.2% 31 | 28.6% 21 | 40.0% 15 | 34.1% 41 | 50.0% 18 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dunne | 1–3 | 25.0% | 44.7% | 44.6% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Mark Kastelic | 1–3 | 25.0% | 30.6% | 30.6% | normal luck (z -0.2) |
| Cody Glass | 1–2 | 33.3% | 36.7% | 36.6% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Connor Dewar | 0–3 | 0.0% | 37.6% | 37.4% | a bit unusual (z -1.3) |
| Braeden Bowman | 1–1 | 50.0% | 49.4% | 49.4% | normal luck (z 0.0) |
| Jacob Quillan | 1–1 | 50.0% | 53.0% | 53.0% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Ben Kindel | 1–1 | 50.0% | 42.7% | 42.7% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
| Colton Dach | 1–1 | 50.0% | 45.6% | 45.6% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
| Oskar Sundqvist | 1–1 | 50.0% | 42.6% | 42.7% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
| Tommy Novak | 1–1 | 50.0% | 46.5% | 46.5% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
| Elias Lindholm | 1–1 | 50.0% | 32.8% | 32.9% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Sidney Crosby | 1–1 | 50.0% | 32.3% | 32.4% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | @ TOR | 2 | 3 | 66.7% |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TOR | 1 | 3 | 33.3% |
| 2026-04-12 | @ NJD | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | @ TOR | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-31 | vs NJD | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-25 | vs VGK | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | @ NSH | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-07 | @ UTA | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-05 | vs DET | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-01 | vs WSH | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-05 vs BOS likely opponents: Pavel Zacha (38%), Elias Lindholm (33%)0.3 FOW 0–1
- 2026-10-06 vs DET likely opponents: Andrew Copp (37%), J.T. Compher (40%)0.3 FOW 0–1
- 2026-10-08 vs PHI likely opponents: Christian Dvorak (36%), Noel Acciari (37%)0.3 FOW 0–1
- 2026-10-10 vs NSH likely opponents: Ryan O'Reilly (38%), Jack Drury (34%)0.3 FOW 0–1
FAQ
What is Stephen Halliday's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Stephen Halliday's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Stephen Halliday win tonight?
When Stephen Halliday has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Stephen Halliday better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.