Who to start · 2026-27

Alex Newhook vs Leo Carlsson

RisingixG/60 1.63 (was 0.74)

In 2026-27, Leo Carlsson scored 2.47 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Newhook's 1.34.

Newhook had 10 points in 20 games; Carlsson had 27 in 20 games.

This week Newhook has no games left; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Carlsson for 2.7 to Newhook's 0.0 over the games left.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Newhook's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1047, Blocked shots 14, Hits 19.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.45, Power-play points 17, Assists 21.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Leo Carlsson rates ahead, +5.1 to -2.5 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Newhook is rising, ixG/60 1.63 (was 0.74); Carlsson is steady.

  • • Newhook, last 10 games (Oct 25–Nov 14): 4 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 13 SOG.
  • • Carlsson, last 10 games (Oct 24–Nov 14): 4 G, 12 A, 10 PPP, 22 SOG.

Montreal Canadiens · Anaheim Ducks · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Newhook

-2.5

category z-score total

Leo Carlsson

+5.1

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Leo Carlsson has the edge (Newhook wins 2, Carlsson wins 4 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryNewhookCarlsson
Goals / game0.250.30
Assists / game0.251.05
Plus/minus / game-0.05-0.10
Power-play points / game0.050.85
Shots on goal / game1.201.70
Hits / game0.950.25

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Newhook vs Carlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NewhookCarlsson
2Team record in 5 meetings3
5Points in those games8

Newhook 3G 2A, 10 SOG · Carlsson 3G 5A, 15 SOG

3Faceoffs against each other1

Newhook's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 2–0 · Newhook's defensive zone 1–0 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Newhook's side)

5:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Newhook's side

Shot attempts
5–10
33.3%
Expected goals
0.1–0.8
11.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alex Newhook and Leo Carlsson
DateScoreNewhookCarlsson
2026-03-15MTL 3–4 ANA1G 0A 1S2G 1A 5S
2026-03-06MTL 5–6 ANA0G 0A 2S1G 1A 4S
2025-02-02MTL 2–3 ANA0G 1A 1S0G 2A 0S
2024-02-13MTL 5–0 ANA0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-22MTL 4–3 ANA2G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S

Faceoffs: Newhook vs Carlsson

Model: Alex Newhook wins 52.7% of draws against Leo Carlsson on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Alex Newhook's predicted win % against Leo Carlsson at each dot, in Newhook's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Newhook atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home58%47%59%48%53%59%48%60%49%
Road56%46%57%47%52%57%47%58%48%

Head-to-head 2024-25 to 2025-26: Newhook 3–1 (75.0%). Blended with the model: 52.9%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z 0.9); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Newhook faceoffs · Carlsson faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NewhookCarlsson

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

NewhookCarlsson

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Montreal Canadiens logo

Alex Newhook

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

Anaheim Ducks logo

Leo Carlsson

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Nov 11 vs NSH
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Justus Annunen (.886)
  • Sat, Nov 14 vs NYI
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Semyon Varlamov (.899)
  • Sun, Nov 15 vs CGYB2B2.7 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to Cvs Devin Cooley (.914)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Alex Newhook or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Leo Carlsson scored 2.47 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Newhook's 1.34. Newhook had 10 points in 20 games; Carlsson had 27 in 20 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Newhook or Leo Carlsson?
On 2026-27 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Newhook and Carlsson done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Newhook's team went 2–3. Newhook had 5 points (3 goals) and Carlsson had 8 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Newhook or Carlsson?
Against each other, Newhook has won 3 and Carlsson 1 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →