Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Macklin Celebrini
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Celebrini has 1 left. We project Celebrini for 2.9 ESPN points to Matthews's 2.6.
Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 28 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 59.7%, Draw Equity /100 +0.103, Transition attempts /60 2.09.
Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Luck Meter +76, Ascension score 62.
Head to head on the dot, Matthews leads Celebrini 14–8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Macklin Celebrini
3.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.99 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 0.33 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Celebrini
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 2G 2A, 16 SOG · Celebrini 0G 2A, 8 SOG
Matthews's offensive zone 1–2 · neutral 4–2 · Matthews's defensive zone 9–4 (2024-25 to 2025-26)
Matthews blocked 0 of Celebrini's shots; Celebrini blocked 1 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
10:40 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–12
- 36.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.9
- 14.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | TOR 2–3 SJS | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2025-03-27 | TOR 5–6 SJS | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-03 | TOR 2–3 SJS | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.6 pts
Macklin Celebrini
2games (1 left)
2.9proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.9 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Macklin Celebrini?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 28 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Celebrini done against each other?
- In 3 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 0–3. Matthews had 4 points (2 goals) and Celebrini had 2 (0 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Celebrini?
- Against each other, Matthews has won 14 and Celebrini 8 of their 22 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →