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Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Matt Boldy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Boldy had 85 in 76 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Boldy has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Boldy's 1.8.

Matt Boldy has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 59.7%, Draw Equity /100 +0.103, Forecheck xG /60 0.31.

Boldy's biggest edges: Goals above expected +8.4, Luck Meter +65, Corsi 51.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Matt Boldy

2.55

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsBoldy
Goals (+2)0.791.04
Assists (+1)0.380.53
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.03
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.34
Hits (+0.1)0.070.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.36

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Boldy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsBoldy
5Team record in 7 meetings2
8Points in those games4

Matthews 6G 2A, 25 SOG · Boldy 3G 1A, 19 SOG

5Faceoffs against each other1

Matthews's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 1–0 · Matthews's defensive zone 3–1 (2021-22 to 2024-25)

1Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other1

Matthews blocked 3 of Boldy's shots; Boldy blocked 1 of Matthews's.

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Matt Boldy
DateScoreMatthewsBoldy
2025-01-29TOR 1–3 MIN0G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-03TOR 1–2 MIN0G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-19TOR 4–3 MIN1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-14TOR 7–4 MIN3G 0A 5S1G 0A 5S
2023-02-24TOR 2–1 MIN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-25TOR 4–3 MIN0G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S
2022-02-24TOR 3–1 MIN2G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsBoldy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Matt Boldy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Matt Boldy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Boldy had 85 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Matt Boldy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Boldy done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 5–2. Matthews had 8 points (6 goals) and Boldy had 4 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Boldy?
Against each other, Matthews has won 5 and Boldy 1 of their 6 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →