Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Jake Guentzel
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Guentzel has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Hardest shot 92.3, Hits 162, Draw Equity /100 +0.101.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.6, On-ice PDO 1023, Blocked shots 41.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
Jake Guentzel
2.20
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 0.88 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.58 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Guentzel
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 7G 18A, 77 SOG · Guentzel 11G 8A, 66 SOG
Tkachuk's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 0–1 (2019-20)
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
8:37 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–10
- 64.3%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–0.7
- 64.7%
- Goals
- 3–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | OTT 6–2 TBL | 0G 4A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-28 | OTT 2–4 TBL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-09 | OTT 5–4 TBL | 0G 3A 5S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-02-06 | OTT 1–5 TBL | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-04 | OTT 3–4 TBL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2024-10-19 | OTT 5–4 TBL | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-17 | OTT 2–7 CAR | 0G 1A 7S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-23 | OTT 5–4 PIT | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-28 | OTT 5–2 PIT | 2G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 10S |
| 2023-03-20 | OTT 2–1 PIT | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-01-20 | OTT 1–4 PIT | 1G 0A 6S | 2G 1A 5S |
| 2023-01-18 | OTT 5–4 PIT | 1G 3A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Jake Guentzel?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Guentzel done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 10–9. Tkachuk had 25 points (7 goals) and Guentzel had 19 (11 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Guentzel?
- Against each other, Tkachuk has won 0 and Guentzel 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →