Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Brandon Hagel vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.

Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Hagel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Hagel's 1.8.

Brandon Hagel has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hagel's biggest edges: Plus/minus +34, On-ice PDO 1032, Forecheck xG /60 0.37.

Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 720, Hits 114, Offensive-zone time 47.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brandon Hagel

2.15

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brandon Hagel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHagelHertl
Goals (+2)0.950.63
Assists (+1)0.500.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.27
Hits (+0.1)0.060.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hagel vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HagelHertl
5Team record in 8 meetings3
10Points in those games5

Hagel 5G 5A, 25 SOG · Hertl 1G 4A, 19 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other2

Hagel's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 0–1 · Hagel's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2022-23)

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Hagel's side)

5:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hagel's side

Shot attempts
7–1
87.5%
Expected goals
0.4–0.0
100.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Brandon Hagel and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreHagelHertl
2025-11-06TBL 6–3 VGK2G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-26TBL 2–1 VGK1G 1A 5S0G 0A 4S
2025-03-23TBL 2–4 VGK0G 1A 6S1G 0A 5S
2024-10-17TBL 4–3 VGK1G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-10-26TBL 6–0 SJS1G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2023-02-07TBL 3–4 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S
2022-10-29TBL 4–3 SJS0G 2A 2S0G 2A 0S
2021-11-28CHI 0–2 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HagelHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brandon Hagel

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Brandon Hagel or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brandon Hagel or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Hagel leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hagel and Hertl done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Hagel's team went 5–3. Hagel had 10 points (5 goals) and Hertl had 5 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Hagel or Hertl?
Against each other, Hagel has won 1 and Hertl 2 of their 3 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →