Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.0, On-ice PDO 1044, Luck Meter +61.
Hertl's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.7%, Faceoffs won 720, Power-play share 78.1%.
Head to head on the dot, Tuch leads Hertl 12–12.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.42
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 10G 12A, 77 SOG · Hertl 14G 8A, 100 SOG
Tuch's offensive zone 8–10 · neutral 4–1 · Tuch's defensive zone 0–1 (2017-18 to 2020-21)
Tuch blocked 0 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Tuch's.
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
3:20 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 1–6
- 14.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.3
- 28.9%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | BUF 3–2 VGK | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-15 | BUF 4–3 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-01-04 | BUF 1–3 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-27 | BUF 5–2 SJS | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-15 | BUF 3–0 SJS | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-18 | BUF 4–2 SJS | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-12-04 | BUF 6–3 SJS | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2021-04-21 | VGK 5–2 SJS | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-04-19 | VGK 3–2 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-03-15 | VGK 2–1 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-05-12 | VGK 6–0 SJS | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-02-13 | VGK 3–1 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 34 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Hertl done against each other?
- In 34 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 24–10. Tuch had 22 points (10 goals) and Hertl had 22 (14 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or Hertl?
- Against each other, Tuch has won 12 and Hertl 12 of their 24 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →