Who to start · 2025-26
Carter Verhaeghe vs Noah Ostlund
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Carter Verhaeghe projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Ostlund's 1.13.
Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; Ostlund had 27 in 60 games.
This week Verhaeghe has 3 games left with 1 soft matchup; Ostlund has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Verhaeghe for 5.2 to Ostlund's 2.2 over the games left.
Carter Verhaeghe has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Verhaeghe's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.78, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, 20+ mph bursts 180.
Ostlund's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, On-ice PDO 1030, Luck Meter +46.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Carter Verhaeghe rates ahead, +3.7 to +0.6 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Verhaeghe is rising, 6 P in last 5 (0.70/GP before); Ostlund is surging, ixG/60 0.99 (was 0.61).
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 6 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 16 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 20 SOG.
Florida Panthers · Buffalo Sabres · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Carter Verhaeghe
+3.7
category z-score total
Noah Ostlund
+0.6
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Carter Verhaeghe has the edge (Verhaeghe wins 4, Ostlund wins 2 of 6 categories).
| Category | Verhaeghe | Ostlund |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| Assists / game | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.14 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| Shots on goal / game | 2.18 | 1.46 |
| Hits / game | 0.68 | 0.09 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Verhaeghe vs Ostlund
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Verhaeghe 1G 2A, 10 SOG · Ostlund 1G 1A, 6 SOG
On the ice against each other (Verhaeghe's side)
16:19 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Verhaeghe's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–20
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.8
- 26.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Verhaeghe | Ostlund |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | FLA 3–5 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-02-27 | FLA 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2026-02-02 | FLA 3–5 BUF | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-12 | FLA 3–2 BUF | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
Faceoffs: Verhaeghe vs Ostlund
Model: Carter Verhaeghe wins 55.2% of draws against Noah Ostlund on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Verhaeghe at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 61% | 48% | 62% | 49% | 55% | 62% | 49% | 63% | 50% |
| Road | 60% | 47% | 61% | 48% | 55% | 61% | 48% | 62% | 49% |
They have not faced each other on a draw in the seasons we track.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Carter Verhaeghe
3games
5.2proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT1.6 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI1.9 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Noah Ostlund
2games
2.2proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.3 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.0 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Carter Verhaeghe or Noah Ostlund in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Carter Verhaeghe projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Ostlund's 1.13. Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; Ostlund had 27 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Carter Verhaeghe or Noah Ostlund?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Carter Verhaeghe leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Verhaeghe and Ostlund done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Verhaeghe's team went 1–3. Verhaeghe had 3 points (1 goals) and Ostlund had 2 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →