Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Josh Norris
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Josh Norris projects to 1.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.33.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Norris had 34 in 44 games.
This week Dvorak has 2 games left; Norris has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Dvorak for 2.8 to Norris's 2.8 over the games left.
Josh Norris has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Dvorak's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Blocked shots 52, Shots on goal 151.
Norris's biggest edges: Fenwick 53.5%, Offensive-zone time 45.9%, Corsi 51.2%.
Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads Norris 10–9.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Josh Norris rates ahead, +0.3 to -0.7 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Dvorak is steady, ixG/60 0.15 (was 0.71); Norris is falling, PP1 in 0 of last 5 (was 14 of 20).
- • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
- • Last 10 games (Oct 1–Oct 19): 2 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 12 SOG.
Philadelphia Flyers · Buffalo Sabres · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
-0.7
category z-score total
Josh Norris
+0.3
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Josh Norris has the edge (Dvorak wins 2, Norris wins 4 of 6 categories).
| Category | Dvorak | Norris |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| Assists / game | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.04 | -0.01 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.47 | 1.48 |
| Hits / game | 0.85 | 0.76 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Norris
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 0G 2A, 9 SOG · Norris 3G 4A, 15 SOG
Dvorak's offensive zone 3–4 · neutral 6–2 · Dvorak's defensive zone 1–3 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
Dvorak blocked 1 of Norris's shots; Norris blocked 0 of Dvorak's.
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
14:14 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–16
- 36.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.7
- 24.3%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | Norris |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | PHI 2–5 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-12-18 | PHI 3–5 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-03 | PHI 5–2 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-10-12 | MTL 4–1 OTT | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-04-23 | MTL 4–6 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-04-05 | MTL 3–6 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2022-03-19 | MTL 5–1 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
Faceoffs: Dvorak vs Norris
Model: Christian Dvorak wins 53.0% of draws against Josh Norris on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Dvorak at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 58% | 47% | 59% | 48% | 53% | 59% | 48% | 60% | 49% |
| Road | 57% | 45% | 58% | 47% | 53% | 58% | 47% | 59% | 48% |
Head-to-head 2025-26: Dvorak 6–7 (46.2%). Blended with the model: 52.8%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.5); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Christian Dvorak
3games (2 left)
2.8proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 vs COLOpp allows 15th-most FP to CLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Wed, Oct 21 @ BUF1.4 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 vs ANA1.4 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Josh Norris
2games
2.8proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.6 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Josh Norris in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Josh Norris projects to 1.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.33. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Norris had 34 in 44 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Josh Norris?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Josh Norris leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dvorak and Norris done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 3–4. Dvorak had 2 points (0 goals) and Norris had 7 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Norris?
- Against each other, Dvorak has won 10 and Norris 9 of their 19 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →