Who to start · 2025-26
Josh Norris vs Macklin Celebrini
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Norris's 1.50.
Norris had 34 points in 44 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.
This week Norris has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Celebrini has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Celebrini for 5.5 to Norris's 2.8 over the games left.
Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Norris's biggest edges: High-danger chances 55.5%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.020, Fenwick 53.5%.
Celebrini's biggest edges: Ascension score 79, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.45, Shots on goal 287.
Head to head on the dot, Norris leads Celebrini 8–8.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Macklin Celebrini rates ahead, +13.2 to +0.3 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Norris is falling, PP1 in 0 of last 5 (was 14 of 20); Celebrini is surging, ixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10).
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 12 SOG.
- • Celebrini has played 8 of the Sharks' 10 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
- • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 8 PPP, 37 SOG.
Buffalo Sabres · San Jose Sharks · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Josh Norris
+0.3
category z-score total
Macklin Celebrini
+13.2
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Macklin Celebrini has the edge (Norris wins 1, Celebrini wins 5 of 6 categories).
| Category | Norris | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.27 | 0.58 |
| Assists / game | 0.34 | 0.95 |
| Plus/minus / game | -0.01 | 0.06 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.13 | 0.61 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.48 | 3.89 |
| Hits / game | 0.76 | 0.64 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Norris vs Celebrini
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Norris 1G 0A, 1 SOG · Celebrini 2G 2A, 10 SOG
Norris's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 3–3 · Norris's defensive zone 3–5 (2024-25 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Norris's side)
14:54 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Norris's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–11
- 47.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.1
- 81.6%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Norris | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | BUF 5–0 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-10 | BUF 6–3 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-01 | OTT 5–3 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2024-11-27 | OTT 4–3 SJS | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
Faceoffs: Norris vs Celebrini
Model: Josh Norris wins 52.5% of draws against Macklin Celebrini on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Norris at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 58% | 46% | 60% | 47% | 53% | 60% | 47% | 61% | 48% |
| Road | 57% | 44% | 58% | 45% | 52% | 58% | 45% | 59% | 47% |
Head-to-head 2024-25 to 2025-26: Norris 8–8 (50.0%). Blended with the model: 52.4%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.2); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Josh Norris
2games
2.8proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.6 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
Macklin Celebrini
4games (2 left)
5.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 @ TOROpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
- Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT3.0 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS2.5 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Josh Norris or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Norris's 1.50. Norris had 34 points in 44 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Josh Norris or Macklin Celebrini?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Norris and Celebrini done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Norris's team went 4–0. Norris had 1 points (1 goals) and Celebrini had 4 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Norris or Celebrini?
- Against each other, Norris has won 8 and Celebrini 8 of their 16 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →