Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Ridly Greig
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Christian Dvorak projects to 1.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ridly Greig's 1.24.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Greig had 35 in 77 games.
This week Dvorak has 2 games left; Greig has 3 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Greig for 3.5 to Dvorak's 2.8 over the games left.
Christian Dvorak has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Dvorak's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1027, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Power-play share 47.9%.
Greig's biggest edges: Fenwick 53.3%, Scoring chances 53.6%, Corsi 52.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads Greig 6–5.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Ridly Greig rates ahead, -0.2 to -0.6 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Dvorak is steady, ixG/60 0.21 (was 0.71); Greig is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.57 (was 2.99).
- • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 11 SOG.
- • Last 10 games (Oct 1–Oct 19): 2 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 7 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
Philadelphia Flyers · Ottawa Senators · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
-0.6
category z-score total
Ridly Greig
-0.2
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Ridly Greig has the edge (Dvorak wins 3, Greig wins 3 of 6 categories).
| Category | Dvorak | Greig |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| Assists / game | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.51 | 1.60 |
| Hits / game | 0.85 | 1.12 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Greig
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 2G 8A, 12 SOG · Greig 1G 3A, 15 SOG
Dvorak's offensive zone 2–3 · neutral 3–2 · Dvorak's defensive zone 1–0 (2022-23 to 2026-27)
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
21:41 at 5-on-5 over 5 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 22–16
- 57.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.6
- 54.5%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | Greig |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | PHI 3–1 OTT | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-10-08 | PHI 1–2 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-02-05 | PHI 1–2 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-08 | PHI 2–3 OTT | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-23 | PHI 1–2 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-11 | MTL 2–5 OTT | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2025-03-18 | MTL 6–3 OTT | 1G 3A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-22 | MTL 5–2 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-12 | MTL 4–1 OTT | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-13 | MTL 4–5 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-31 | MTL 4–5 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-28 | MTL 0–5 OTT | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
Faceoffs: Dvorak vs Greig
Model: Christian Dvorak wins 55.9% of draws against Ridly Greig on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Dvorak at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 62% | 49% | 63% | 50% | 56% | 63% | 50% | 64% | 52% |
| Road | 60% | 48% | 61% | 49% | 56% | 61% | 49% | 63% | 50% |
Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2026-27: Dvorak 5–5 (50.0%). Blended with the model: 55.8%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.4); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Christian Dvorak
3games (2 left)
2.8proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 vs COLOpp allows 15th-most FP to CLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Wed, Oct 21 @ BUF1.4 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 vs ANA1.4 pts
Ridly Greig
3games
3.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.1 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to Cvs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.0 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Ridly Greig in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Christian Dvorak projects to 1.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ridly Greig's 1.24. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Greig had 35 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Ridly Greig?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Christian Dvorak leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dvorak and Greig done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 4–8. Dvorak had 10 points (2 goals) and Greig had 4 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Greig?
- Against each other, Dvorak has won 6 and Greig 5 of their 11 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →