Who to start · 2025-26
Macklin Celebrini vs Ridly Greig
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ridly Greig's 1.24.
Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Greig had 35 in 77 games.
This week Celebrini has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Greig has 3 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Celebrini for 5.5 to Greig's 3.5 over the games left.
Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Ascension score 79, Offensive-zone start % 68.6%.
Greig's biggest edges: High-danger chances 53.2%, Fenwick 53.3%, Corsi 52.5%.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Macklin Celebrini rates ahead, +13.2 to -0.2 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Celebrini is surging, ixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10); Greig is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.57 (was 2.99).
- • Celebrini has played 8 of the Sharks' 10 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
- • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 8 PPP, 37 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 7 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
San Jose Sharks · Ottawa Senators · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Macklin Celebrini
+13.2
category z-score total
Ridly Greig
-0.2
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Macklin Celebrini has the edge (Celebrini wins 4, Greig wins 2 of 6 categories).
| Category | Celebrini | Greig |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.58 | 0.16 |
| Assists / game | 0.95 | 0.24 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.61 | 0.03 |
| Shots on goal / game | 3.89 | 1.60 |
| Hits / game | 0.64 | 1.12 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Greig
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Celebrini 1G 3A, 10 SOG · Greig 0G 2A, 2 SOG
Celebrini's offensive zone 2–2 · neutral 1–2 · Celebrini's defensive zone 1–0 (2024-25 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)
3:01 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side
- Shot attempts
- 0–6
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Celebrini | Greig |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | SJS 4–7 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-01 | SJS 3–5 OTT | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-11-27 | SJS 3–4 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
Faceoffs: Celebrini vs Greig
Model: Macklin Celebrini wins 50.5% of draws against Ridly Greig on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Celebrini at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 57% | 43% | 58% | 44% | 51% | 58% | 44% | 59% | 45% |
| Road | 56% | 42% | 57% | 43% | 50% | 57% | 43% | 58% | 44% |
Head-to-head 2024-25 to 2025-26: Celebrini 4–4 (50.0%). Blended with the model: 50.5%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.0); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Macklin Celebrini
4games (2 left)
5.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 @ TOROpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
- Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT3.0 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS2.5 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
Ridly Greig
3games
3.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.1 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to Cvs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.0 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Ridly Greig in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ridly Greig's 1.24. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Greig had 35 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Ridly Greig?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Celebrini and Greig done against each other?
- In 3 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 0–3. Celebrini had 4 points (1 goals) and Greig had 2 (0 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Celebrini or Greig?
- Against each other, Celebrini has won 4 and Greig 4 of their 8 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →