Who to start · 2026-27
Cole Perfetti vs Leo Carlsson
In 2026-27, Leo Carlsson scored 2.47 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Cole Perfetti's 2.13.
Perfetti had 19 points in 21 games; Carlsson had 27 in 20 games.
This week Perfetti has no games left; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Carlsson for 2.7 to Perfetti's 0.0 over the games left.
Leo Carlsson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Perfetti's biggest edges: Hits 27, Scoring chances 57.6%, On-ice PDO 1043.
Carlsson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 75, Transition attempts /60 1.33, Faceoffs won 106.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Leo Carlsson rates ahead, +5.1 to +4.7 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Perfetti is rising, 8 P in last 5 (0.55/GP before); Carlsson is steady.
- • Perfetti, last 10 games (Oct 27–Nov 14): 2 G, 8 A, 4 PPP, 29 SOG.
- • Carlsson, last 10 games (Oct 24–Nov 14): 4 G, 12 A, 10 PPP, 22 SOG.
Winnipeg Jets · Anaheim Ducks · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Under Standard (6 categories), Leo Carlsson has the edge (Perfetti wins 4, Carlsson wins 2 of 6 categories).
| Category | Perfetti | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| Assists / game | 0.52 | 1.05 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.24 | -0.10 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.43 | 0.85 |
| Shots on goal / game | 2.90 | 1.70 |
| Hits / game | 1.29 | 0.25 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Perfetti vs Carlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Perfetti 0G 4A, 13 SOG · Carlsson 4G 0A, 12 SOG
Perfetti's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 0–1 · Perfetti's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25 to 2026-27)
On the ice against each other (Perfetti's side)
15:07 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Perfetti's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–18
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.8
- 50.3%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Perfetti | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | WPG 1–5 ANA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-10 | WPG 1–4 ANA | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-02-27 | WPG 4–5 ANA | 0G 2A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-09 | WPG 1–4 ANA | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-16 | WPG 2–1 ANA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-02 | WPG 3–4 ANA | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-18 | WPG 2–3 ANA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-10 | WPG 4–2 ANA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
Faceoffs: Perfetti vs Carlsson
Model: Cole Perfetti wins 45.4% of draws against Leo Carlsson on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Perfetti at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 52% | 38% | 53% | 39% | 46% | 53% | 39% | 55% | 40% |
| Road | 51% | 36% | 52% | 37% | 45% | 52% | 37% | 53% | 39% |
Head-to-head 2024-25 to 2026-27: Perfetti 0–3 (0.0%). Blended with the model: 45.2%. The record is a bit unusual for this matchup (z -1.6); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Cole Perfetti
3games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Nov 10 vs NJDOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Allen (.881)
- Thu, Nov 12 @ DALOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.902)
- Sat, Nov 14 @ CHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.882)
Leo Carlsson
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Nov 11 vs NSH
- Sat, Nov 14 vs NYIOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Semyon Varlamov (.899)
- Opp allows 4th-most FP to Cvs Devin Cooley (.914)
Player data stories
How the game changed, told through the numbers.
- In 2022-23, Four NHL Players Wore a Number in the 90s for Every One in No. 9 The count was 53 to 13, and the incomplete 2025-26 rosters show the same split, 51 to 12.
- The 1,000-Game Club Had Its Biggest Year. Getting In Is No Easier. Seventeen players reached 1,000 NHL games in 2025-26, more than in any season before, in the biggest league the NHL has had.
- Only 14 NHL Defencemen Still Score Like Ken Daneyko A stay-at-home defenceman stays back to defend and leaves the scoring to others.
- How Much Lighter Did the NHL Really Get? Teams write down NHL weights.
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Cole Perfetti or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
- In 2026-27, Leo Carlsson scored 2.47 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Cole Perfetti's 2.13. Perfetti had 19 points in 21 games; Carlsson had 27 in 20 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Cole Perfetti or Leo Carlsson?
- On 2026-27 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Perfetti and Carlsson done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Perfetti's team went 2–6. Perfetti had 4 points (0 goals) and Carlsson had 4 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Perfetti or Carlsson?
- Against each other, Perfetti has won 0 and Carlsson 3 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →