Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Nick Suzuki
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nick Suzuki's 2.43.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Suzuki had 101 in 82 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left; Suzuki has 1 left. We project McDavid for 3.2 ESPN points to Suzuki's 2.5.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Ascension score 62, Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, Goals above expected +0.6.
Suzuki's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1045, Blocked shots 62, Hardest shot 86.0.
Head to head on the dot, McDavid leads Suzuki 34–22.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Nick Suzuki
2.43
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Suzuki |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.15 | 0.66 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.32 | 0.82 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.39 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Suzuki
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 7G 21A, 62 SOG · Suzuki 6G 11A, 44 SOG
McDavid's offensive zone 13–9 · neutral 9–9 · McDavid's defensive zone 12–4 (2019-20 to 2025-26)
McDavid blocked 2 of Suzuki's shots; Suzuki blocked 1 of McDavid's.
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
8:31 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–6
- 57.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.4
- 5.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Suzuki |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | EDM 1–4 MTL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-23 | EDM 6–5 MTL | 0G 3A 3S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2025-03-06 | EDM 3–2 MTL | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-18 | EDM 0–3 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-03-19 | EDM 3–2 MTL | 1G 1A 9S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-13 | EDM 2–1 MTL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-02-12 | EDM 2–6 MTL | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-12-03 | EDM 5–3 MTL | 2G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-05 | EDM 2–5 MTL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2022-01-29 | EDM 7–2 MTL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2021-04-21 | EDM 3–4 MTL | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-04-19 | EDM 4–1 MTL | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 21 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA3.2 pts
Nick Suzuki
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT2.5 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Nick Suzuki in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nick Suzuki's 2.43. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Suzuki had 101 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Nick Suzuki?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Suzuki done against each other?
- In 21 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 12–9. McDavid had 28 points (7 goals) and Suzuki had 17 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Suzuki?
- Against each other, McDavid has won 34 and Suzuki 22 of their 56 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →