Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Mikael Granlund

CoolingixG/60 0.32 (was 1.48)
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.38 (was 3.38)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikael Granlund's 1.88.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Granlund had 41 in 58 games.

This week Larkin has 3 games left with 2 soft matchups; Granlund has 3 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Larkin for 6.2 to Granlund's 5.2 over the games left.

Dylan Larkin has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.39, Hardest shot 91.7, Penalty minutes 48.

Granlund's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.072, High-danger chances 53.7%, Forecheck xG /60 0.40.

Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Granlund 39–30.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Dylan Larkin rates ahead, +4.6 to +2.2 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Larkin is cooling, ixG/60 0.32 (was 1.48); Granlund is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.38 (was 3.38).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 6 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 14 SOG.
  • • Granlund has played 8 of the Ducks' 9 games since Oct 2 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 2 G, 6 A, 4 PPP, 15 SOG.

Detroit Red Wings · Anaheim Ducks · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

+4.6

category z-score total

Mikael Granlund

+2.2

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Dylan Larkin has the edge (Larkin wins 4, Granlund wins 2 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryLarkinGranlund
Goals / game0.380.30
Assists / game0.410.51
Plus/minus / game0.03-0.19
Power-play points / game0.280.32
Shots on goal / game2.881.97
Hits / game0.590.36

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Larkin vs Granlund

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarkinGranlund
10Team record in 25 meetings15
21Points in those games15

Larkin 7G 14A, 86 SOG · Granlund 8G 7A, 42 SOG

39Faceoffs against each other30

Larkin's offensive zone 8–14 · neutral 15–7 · Larkin's defensive zone 16–9 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Shots blocked by the other2

Larkin blocked 1 of Granlund's shots; Granlund blocked 2 of Larkin's.

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Larkin and Mikael Granlund
DateScoreLarkinGranlund
2025-11-13DET 6–3 ANA1G 1A 4S1G 0A 2S
2025-04-14DET 6–4 DAL0G 2A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-14DET 3–6 SJS0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-11-18DET 4–5 SJS1G 1A 4S0G 1A 1S
2024-01-02DET 5–3 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-12-07DET 5–6 SJS1G 0A 4S1G 2A 1S
2023-04-08DET 1–5 PIT0G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2023-03-28DET 7–4 PIT1G 2A 4S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-23DET 3–0 NSH1G 0A 6S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-22DET 1–4 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2021-12-07DET 2–5 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2021-04-08DET 1–7 NSH0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Faceoffs: Larkin vs Granlund

Model: Dylan Larkin wins 55.4% of draws against Mikael Granlund on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Dylan Larkin's predicted win % against Mikael Granlund at each dot, in Larkin's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Larkin atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home61%49%62%50%56%62%50%63%51%
Road60%47%61%49%55%61%49%62%50%

Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Larkin 14–13 (51.9%). Blended with the model: 55.2%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.4); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Larkin faceoffs · Granlund faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinGranlund

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Dylan Larkin

3games

6.2proj. ESPN default pts

Mikael Granlund

4games (3 left)

5.2proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ NYR
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NYIB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ NJD1.8 pts
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ PHI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Mikael Granlund in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikael Granlund's 1.88. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Granlund had 41 in 58 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Mikael Granlund?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larkin and Granlund done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 10–15. Larkin had 21 points (7 goals) and Granlund had 15 (8 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Granlund?
Against each other, Larkin has won 39 and Granlund 30 of their 69 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →