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Who to start · 2025-26

Jack Hughes vs Tage Thompson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tage Thompson's 2.26.

Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.

This week Hughes has 1 game left; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Hughes's 2.3.

Jack Hughes has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Hughes's biggest edges: Scoring chances 56.0%, Fenwick 55.3%, Corsi 55.9%.

Thompson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.9, Hits 85, On-ice PDO 1014.

Head to head on the dot, Hughes leads Thompson 12–3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jack Hughes

2.55

fantasy points per game

Tage Thompson

2.26

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHughesThompson
Goals (+2)0.950.93
Assists (+1)0.770.47
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.380.34
Hits (+0.1)0.010.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hughes vs Thompson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HughesThompson
9Team record in 16 meetings7
18Points in those games17

Hughes 9G 9A, 56 SOG · Thompson 12G 5A, 48 SOG

12Faceoffs against each other3

Hughes's offensive zone 6–1 · neutral 4–1 · Hughes's defensive zone 2–1 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Hughes blocked 1 of Thompson's shots; Thompson blocked 0 of Hughes's.

On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)

9:08 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side

Shot attempts
6–14
30.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.5
23.0%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Jack Hughes and Tage Thompson
DateScoreHughesThompson
2026-02-25NJD 1–2 BUF0G 1A 1S1G 1A 3S
2025-12-21NJD 1–3 BUF1G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-02-02NJD 3–4 BUF1G 0A 3S1G 2A 3S
2024-10-05NJD 3–1 BUF0G 2A 6S1G 0A 3S
2024-10-04NJD 4–1 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-29NJD 2–5 BUF0G 0A 5S4G 0A 6S
2023-10-27NJD 5–4 BUF1G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2023-04-11NJD 6–2 BUF1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-03-24NJD 4–5 BUF2G 1A 4S1G 0A 4S
2022-11-25NJD 3–1 BUF1G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2021-12-29NJD 4–3 BUF1G 2A 6S2G 0A 3S
2021-02-25NJD 4–3 BUF0G 0A 8S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HughesThompson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jack Hughes

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.3 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Tage Thompson

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Jack Hughes or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tage Thompson's 2.26. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jack Hughes or Tage Thompson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jack Hughes leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hughes and Thompson done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 9–7. Hughes had 18 points (9 goals) and Thompson had 17 (12 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Hughes or Thompson?
Against each other, Hughes has won 12 and Thompson 3 of their 15 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →