Who to start · 2025-26
Jesper Boqvist vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jesper Boqvist's 0.98.
Boqvist had 13 points in 73 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Boqvist has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 5.9 to Boqvist's 2.2 over the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 31 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Boqvist's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.69, Ascension score 61, Hits 141.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Goals above expected +4.3, On-ice PDO 1054.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to -1.7 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Boqvist is steady, On-ice xGF/60 3.39 (was 1.82); MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88).
- • Boqvist, 2026-27 so far: 7 GP, 3 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 13 SOG.
- • MacKinnon, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.
New Jersey Devils · Colorado Avalanche · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jesper Boqvist
-1.7
category z-score total
Nathan MacKinnon
+14.0
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (Boqvist wins 1, MacKinnon wins 5 of 6 categories).
| Category | Boqvist | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.17 | 0.64 |
| Assists / game | 0.13 | 0.96 |
| Plus/minus / game | -0.01 | 0.43 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.19 | 4.38 |
| Hits / game | 1.54 | 0.68 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Boqvist vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Boqvist 2G 1A, 14 SOG · MacKinnon 6G 9A, 59 SOG
Boqvist's offensive zone 0–4 · neutral 1–1 · Boqvist's defensive zone 0–1 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Boqvist's side)
3:50 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Boqvist's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–2
- 60.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.3
- 30.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Boqvist | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | NJD 4–3 COL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2026-01-04 | FLA 2–1 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-12-11 | FLA 2–6 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 7S |
| 2025-01-06 | FLA 1–3 COL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-23 | FLA 4–7 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-18 | BOS 5–2 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2024-01-08 | BOS 3–4 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-03-01 | NJD 7–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 6S |
| 2022-10-28 | NJD 1–0 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2022-04-14 | NJD 1–3 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-08 | NJD 5–3 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2020-01-04 | NJD 2–5 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Faceoffs: Boqvist vs MacKinnon
Model: Jesper Boqvist wins 41.5% of draws against Nathan MacKinnon on average (L shot vs R shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.
| Boqvist at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 40% | 42% | 41% | 43% | 42% | 41% | 43% | 43% | 44% |
| Road | 39% | 40% | 40% | 42% | 41% | 40% | 42% | 41% | 43% |
Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Boqvist 0–3 (0.0%). Blended with the model: 41.3%. The record is a bit unusual for this matchup (z -1.5); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Jesper Boqvist
3games (2 left)
2.2proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 vs COL
- Thu, Oct 22 vs ANA1.1 ptsOpp allows 11th-most FP to Cvs Ville Husso (.884)
- Sat, Oct 24 vs LAK1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
Nathan MacKinnon
4games (2 left)
5.9proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 @ PHIOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
- Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jesper Boqvist or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jesper Boqvist's 0.98. Boqvist had 13 points in 73 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jesper Boqvist or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 31 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Boqvist and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Boqvist's team went 6–7. Boqvist had 3 points (2 goals) and MacKinnon had 15 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Boqvist or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Boqvist has won 1 and MacKinnon 6 of their 7 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →