Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jiri Kulich vs Macklin Celebrini

SurgingixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jiri Kulich's 1.26.

Kulich had 5 points in 12 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.

This week Kulich has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Celebrini has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Celebrini for 5.5 to Kulich's 2.5 over the games left.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 3 of the 3 stats both are ranked on.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Luck Meter +76, Draw Equity /100 −0.015, Faceoff win % 48.6%.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Macklin Celebrini rates ahead, +13.2 to -2.2 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Kulich has no recent trend; Celebrini is surging, ixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10).

  • • Kulich has played 7 of the Sabres' 9 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 7 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • Celebrini has played 8 of the Sharks' 10 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 8 PPP, 37 SOG.

Buffalo Sabres · San Jose Sharks · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jiri Kulich

-2.2

category z-score total

Macklin Celebrini

+13.2

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Macklin Celebrini has the edge (Kulich wins 1, Celebrini wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryKulichCelebrini
Goals / game0.220.58
Assists / game0.200.95
Plus/minus / game-0.090.06
Power-play points / game0.000.61
Shots on goal / game1.503.89
Hits / game0.830.64

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Kulich vs Celebrini

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KulichCelebrini
1Team record in 2 meetings1
0Points in those games1

Kulich 0G 0A, 3 SOG · Celebrini 1G 0A, 6 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other4

Kulich's offensive zone 2–1 · neutral 1–2 · Kulich's defensive zone 1–1 (2024-25)

Games against each other

Games between Jiri Kulich and Macklin Celebrini
DateScoreKulichCelebrini
2025-03-04BUF 2–6 SJS0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-23BUF 4–2 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S

Faceoffs: Kulich vs Celebrini

Model: Jiri Kulich wins 47.2% of draws against Macklin Celebrini on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Jiri Kulich's predicted win % against Macklin Celebrini at each dot, in Kulich's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Kulich atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home51%43%52%44%47%52%44%53%45%
Road49%41%51%42%47%51%42%52%44%

Head-to-head 2024-25: Kulich 4–4 (50.0%). Blended with the model: 47.2%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z 0.2); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Kulich faceoffs · Celebrini faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KulichCelebrini

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Jiri Kulich

2games

2.5proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.4 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.2 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.1 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)

Macklin Celebrini

4games (2 left)

5.5proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ TOR
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT3.0 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CSchedule edge +11.9 win%Likely vs Samuel Ersson (.870)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS2.5 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Jiri Kulich or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jiri Kulich's 1.26. Kulich had 5 points in 12 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jiri Kulich or Macklin Celebrini?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 3 of 3 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kulich and Celebrini done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Kulich's team went 1–1. Kulich had 0 points (0 goals) and Celebrini had 1 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kulich or Celebrini?
Against each other, Kulich has won 4 and Celebrini 4 of their 8 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →