Draw Duel

Jiri Kulich faceoff stats, 2025-26

BUF · C · Left shot · full player page

Model rating

45.6%

90%: 42.4%–48.8% vs an average regular, on 736 draws since 2023-24

2025-26 FO%

41.7%

68 won of 163 (regular season)

Strong / weak side

33.3% / 55.6%

84 strong-side, 54 weak-side draws this season

Next game

2.9 FOW

2026-10-06 vs MIN: 6 draws at 49.0%, range 1–5

Where Kulich wins draws

Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.

Offensive zone at the right, his left at the top. Warm = above 50%, cool = below; bigger circles = more draws. Hollow circles have under 10 draws.

Show as a table

Jiri Kulich faceoff win % by dot
Dot	Draws	Won	FO%
OZ left	49	16	32.7%
OZ right	18	8	44.4%
NZ left (att.)	9	2	22.2%
NZ right (att.)	3	1	33.3%
Centre	25	10	40.0%
NZ left (def.)	6	3	50.0%
NZ right (def.)	2	2	100.0%
DZ left	20	7	35.0%
DZ right	31	19	61.3%

Toughest and easiest opponents

Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.

Toughest

Claude Giroux OTT · R37.1%
Aatu Räty VAN · L37.6%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R38.1%
Vincent Trocheck UTA · R38.6%
J.T. Miller NYR · L38.6%
Auston Matthews TOR · L38.8%

Easiest

Jack Hughes NJD · L58.5%
Noah Ostlund BUF · L58.2%
Trevor Zegras PHI · L57.1%
Danila Yurov MIN · L55.4%
Pavel Buchnevich STL · L55.1%
Calum Ritchie NYI · R54.9%

Splits by season

Faceoff win % by season and situation, with draws taken.
Season	All	EV	PP	PK	OZ	NZ	DZ	Strong	Weak
2026-27	57.1% 14	53.8% 13	— 0	100.0% 1	66.7% 3	40.0% 5	66.7% 6	71.4% 7	50.0% 4
2025-26	41.7% 163	42.9% 147	33.3% 15	0.0% 1	35.8% 67	40.0% 45	51.0% 51	33.3% 84	55.6% 54
2024-25	45.5% 558	45.4% 513	53.1% 32	30.8% 13	45.3% 201	44.7% 206	47.0% 151	48.4% 283	41.3% 143
2023-24	0.0% 1	0.0% 1	— 0	— 0	— 0	— 0	0.0% 1	0.0% 1	— 0

Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.

Head-to-head, last three seasons

Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.

Head-to-head faceoff records with model expectation and shrunk estimate.
Opponent	Record	Raw	Model	Blended	Unusual?
Auston Matthews	10–13	43.5%	39.6%	39.7%	normal luck (z 0.4)
J.T. Miller	7–15	31.8%	39.2%	38.9%	normal luck (z -0.7)
Elias Lindholm	10–11	47.6%	39.5%	39.8%	normal luck (z 0.8)
Anthony Cirelli	6–14	30.0%	48.3%	47.6%	a bit unusual (z -1.6)
Noah Cates	11–8	57.9%	51.7%	51.9%	normal luck (z 0.5)
John Tavares	10–8	55.6%	39.0%	39.6%	a bit unusual (z 1.4)
Sean Monahan	9–7	56.3%	44.0%	44.4%	normal luck (z 1.0)
Adam Fantilli	6–8	42.9%	48.5%	48.4%	normal luck (z -0.4)
Jake Evans	6–7	46.2%	38.8%	39.0%	normal luck (z 0.5)
Sidney Crosby	5–6	45.5%	40.4%	40.5%	normal luck (z 0.3)
Brayden Point	4–7	36.4%	49.2%	49.0%	normal luck (z -0.9)
Mikael Backlund	5–6	45.5%	47.2%	47.1%	normal luck (z -0.1)

Last 10 games

Faceoffs taken and won in his last ten games.
Date	Opp	FOW	Draws	FO%
2026-10-03	vs CHI	7	9	77.8%
2026-10-01	@ CBJ	1	5	20.0%
2025-11-01	vs WSH	2	2	100.0%
2025-10-30	@ BOS	9	21	42.9%
2025-10-28	vs CBJ	11	23	47.8%
2025-10-25	@ TOR	4	15	26.7%
2025-10-24	vs TOR	9	16	56.3%
2025-10-22	vs DET	5	12	41.7%
2025-10-20	@ MTL	3	10	30.0%
2025-10-18	vs FLA	8	17	47.1%

Projected faceoffs won

2026-10-06 vs MIN likely opponents: Joel Eriksson Ek (50%), Ryan Hartman (50%)2.9 FOW 1–5
2026-10-08 vs DAL likely opponents: Wyatt Johnston (48%), Roope Hintz (45%)2.7 FOW 0–5
2026-10-10 vs UTA likely opponents: Vincent Trocheck (38%), Kevin Stenlund (42%)2.8 FOW 0–5

FAQ

What is Jiri Kulich's faceoff percentage?

The season line above shows Jiri Kulich's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.

How many faceoffs will Jiri Kulich win tonight?

When Jiri Kulich has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.

Is Jiri Kulich better on his strong side?

Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.