Who to start · 2025-26
Justin Danforth vs Macklin Celebrini
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Danforth's 0.51.
Danforth had 0 points in 4 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.
This week Danforth has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Celebrini has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Celebrini for 5.5 to Danforth's 2.1 over the games left.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Macklin Celebrini rates ahead, +13.2 to -7.7 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Danforth has no recent trend; Celebrini is surging, ixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10).
- • Danforth has played 6 of the Sabres' 7 games since Oct 6 (in and out of the lineup).
- • 2026-27 so far: 6 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • Celebrini has played 8 of the Sharks' 10 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
- • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 8 PPP, 37 SOG.
Buffalo Sabres · San Jose Sharks · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Justin Danforth
-7.7
category z-score total
Macklin Celebrini
+13.2
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Macklin Celebrini has the edge (Danforth wins 1, Celebrini wins 5 of 6 categories).
| Category | Danforth | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.00 | 0.58 |
| Assists / game | 0.00 | 0.95 |
| Plus/minus / game | -0.31 | 0.06 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.00 | 0.61 |
| Shots on goal / game | 0.40 | 3.89 |
| Hits / game | 0.68 | 0.64 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Danforth vs Celebrini
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Danforth 0G 0A, 6 SOG · Celebrini 0G 0A, 3 SOG
Danforth's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Danforth's defensive zone 0–1 (2024-25)
Danforth blocked 1 of Celebrini's shots; Celebrini blocked 0 of Danforth's.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Danforth | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-05 | CBJ 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
Faceoffs: Danforth vs Celebrini
Model: Justin Danforth wins 51.4% of draws against Macklin Celebrini on average (R shot vs L shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.
| Danforth at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 50% | 51% | 52% | 53% | 52% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 54% |
| Road | 49% | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 52% |
Head-to-head 2024-25: Danforth 1–1 (50.0%). Blended with the model: 51.3%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.0); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Danforth faceoffs · Celebrini faceoffs · how the model works
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Justin Danforth
2games
2.1proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.1 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.1 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
Macklin Celebrini
4games (2 left)
5.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 @ TOROpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
- Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT3.0 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS2.5 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Justin Danforth or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Danforth's 0.51. Danforth had 0 points in 4 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- How have Danforth and Celebrini done against each other?
- In 1 games against each other in our data, Danforth's team went 0–1. Danforth had 0 points (0 goals) and Celebrini had 0 (0 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Danforth or Celebrini?
- Against each other, Danforth has won 1 and Celebrini 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →