Who to start · 2025-26
Leo Carlsson vs Sam Reinhart
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12.
Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Reinhart had 61 in 64 games.
This week Carlsson has 1 game left; Reinhart has 1 left. We project Reinhart for 2.1 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.
Leo Carlsson has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Carlsson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 197, Plus/minus +4, Ascension score 59.
Reinhart's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Hits 59, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.016.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Sam Reinhart
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sam Reinhart has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlsson | Reinhart |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.13 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Reinhart
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlsson 1G 3A, 4 SOG · Reinhart 3G 0A, 17 SOG
Carlsson's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Carlsson's defensive zone 1–3 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)
4:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–7
- 30.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.1
- 69.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlsson | Reinhart |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | ANA 7–3 FLA | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-28 | ANA 3–2 FLA | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 9S |
| 2025-01-21 | ANA 2–5 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-18 | ANA 0–3 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-15 | ANA 5–4 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Sam Reinhart
3games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.1 ptsLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Leo Carlsson or Sam Reinhart in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Reinhart had 61 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Sam Reinhart?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlsson and Reinhart done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 3–2. Carlsson had 4 points (1 goals) and Reinhart had 3 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Carlsson or Reinhart?
- Against each other, Carlsson has won 1 and Reinhart 4 of their 5 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →