Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Macklin Celebrini vs Noel Acciari

SurgingixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10)
SteadyOn-ice xGF/60 1.60 (was 2.18)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noel Acciari's 1.17.

Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Acciari had 25 in 67 games.

This week Celebrini has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Acciari has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Celebrini for 5.5 to Acciari's 2.3 over the games left.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.9, Offensive-zone start % 68.6%, 20+ mph bursts 186.

Acciari's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.000, High-danger chances 52.1%, Draw Equity /100 +0.026.

Head to head on the dot, Acciari leads Celebrini 7–4.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Macklin Celebrini rates ahead, +13.2 to -2.8 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Celebrini is surging, ixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10); Acciari is steady, On-ice xGF/60 1.60 (was 2.18).

  • • Celebrini has played 8 of the Sharks' 10 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 8 PPP, 37 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • Last 10 games (Oct 1–Oct 19): 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 9 SOG.

San Jose Sharks · Philadelphia Flyers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Macklin Celebrini

+13.2

category z-score total

Noel Acciari

-2.8

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Macklin Celebrini has the edge (Celebrini wins 5, Acciari wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryCelebriniAcciari
Goals / game0.580.15
Assists / game0.950.10
Plus/minus / game0.06-0.11
Power-play points / game0.610.00
Shots on goal / game3.891.19
Hits / game0.641.71

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Acciari

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CelebriniAcciari
2Team record in 4 meetings2
4Points in those games1

Celebrini 2G 2A, 12 SOG · Acciari 0G 1A, 5 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other7

Celebrini's offensive zone 3–5 · neutral 0–1 · Celebrini's defensive zone 1–1 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

0Shots blocked by the other3

Celebrini blocked 0 of Acciari's shots; Acciari blocked 3 of Celebrini's.

On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)

9:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side

Shot attempts
12–9
57.1%
Expected goals
0.6–0.5
53.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Macklin Celebrini and Noel Acciari
DateScoreCelebriniAcciari
2025-12-13SJS 6–5 PIT1G 2A 6S0G 1A 0S
2025-10-18SJS 0–3 PIT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-27SJS 2–1 PIT1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-16SJS 3–4 PIT0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S

Faceoffs: Celebrini vs Acciari

Model: Macklin Celebrini wins 45.8% of draws against Noel Acciari on average (L shot vs R shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.

Macklin Celebrini's predicted win % against Noel Acciari at each dot, in Celebrini's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Celebrini atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home44%47%45%48%46%45%48%46%49%
Road42%46%44%47%46%44%47%45%48%

Head-to-head 2024-25 to 2025-26: Celebrini 4–7 (36.4%). Blended with the model: 45.6%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.6); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Celebrini faceoffs · Acciari faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CelebriniAcciari

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

San Jose Sharks logo

Macklin Celebrini

4games (2 left)

5.5proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ TOR
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT3.0 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CSchedule edge +12.3 win%Likely vs Samuel Ersson (.870)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS2.5 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
Philadelphia Flyers logo

Noel Acciari

3games (2 left)

2.3proj. ESPN default pts

FAQ

Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Noel Acciari in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noel Acciari's 1.17. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Acciari had 25 in 67 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Noel Acciari?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Celebrini and Acciari done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 2–2. Celebrini had 4 points (2 goals) and Acciari had 1 (0 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Celebrini or Acciari?
Against each other, Celebrini has won 4 and Acciari 7 of their 11 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →