Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Macklin Celebrini vs Yakov Trenin

SurgingixG/60 1.90 (was 1.10)
Steady22% of 5v5 TOI with top players (was 33%)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Yakov Trenin's 1.12.

Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Trenin had 23 in 82 games.

This week Celebrini has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Trenin has 3 left with 2 soft matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Celebrini for 5.3 to Trenin's 3.5 over the games left.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Offensive-zone start % 68.6%, Power-play time per game 3:36.

Trenin's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007, Forecheck xG /60 0.49, Hits 413.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Macklin Celebrini rates ahead, +13.2 to +0.9 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Celebrini is surging, ixG/60 1.90 (was 1.10); Trenin is steady, 22% of 5v5 TOI with top players (was 33%).

  • • Celebrini has played 8 of the Sharks' 10 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • Celebrini, 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 8 PPP, 37 SOG.
  • • Trenin, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.

San Jose Sharks · Minnesota Wild · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Macklin Celebrini

+13.2

category z-score total

Yakov Trenin

+0.9

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Macklin Celebrini has the edge (Celebrini wins 5, Trenin wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryCelebriniTrenin
Goals / game0.580.04
Assists / game0.950.20
Plus/minus / game0.060.02
Power-play points / game0.610.00
Shots on goal / game3.891.12
Hits / game0.644.78

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Trenin

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CelebriniTrenin
3Team record in 6 meetings3
15Points in those games1

Celebrini 7G 8A, 24 SOG · Trenin 0G 1A, 7 SOG

On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)

6:58 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side

Shot attempts
2–12
14.3%
Expected goals
0.1–0.6
14.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Macklin Celebrini and Yakov Trenin
DateScoreCelebriniTrenin
2025-12-31SJS 4–3 MIN1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-11SJS 2–1 MIN0G 2A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-26SJS 6–5 MIN1G 2A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-04-09SJS 7–8 MIN3G 2A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-11SJS 1–3 MIN0G 1A 6S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-07SJS 2–5 MIN2G 0A 7S0G 0A 0S

Faceoffs: Celebrini vs Trenin

Model: Macklin Celebrini wins 53.6% of draws against Yakov Trenin on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Macklin Celebrini's predicted win % against Yakov Trenin at each dot, in Celebrini's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Celebrini atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home58%48%59%49%54%59%49%60%51%
Road57%47%58%48%53%58%48%59%49%

They have not faced each other on a draw in the seasons we track.

Celebrini faceoffs · Trenin faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CelebriniTrenin

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

CelebriniTrenin

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

San Jose Sharks logo

Macklin Celebrini

4games (2 left)

5.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ TOR
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT2.8 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Samuel Ersson (.870)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS2.5 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
Minnesota Wild logo

Yakov Trenin

4games (3 left)

3.5proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 @ EDM
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.898)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ CGY1.2 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Devin Cooley (.909)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ VANB2B1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Yakov Trenin in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Yakov Trenin's 1.12. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Trenin had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Yakov Trenin?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Celebrini and Trenin done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 3–3. Celebrini had 15 points (7 goals) and Trenin had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →