Who to start · 2025-26
Mattias Samuelsson vs Thomas Chabot
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Chabot projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 1.88.
Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Chabot had 31 in 57 games.
This week Samuelsson has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Chabot has 3 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Chabot for 5.8 to Samuelsson's 3.4 over the games left.
Mattias Samuelsson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1036, Hits 132, Transition attempts /60 0.49.
Chabot's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.0%, Power-play share 46.0%, Power-play time per game 2:22.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Mattias Samuelsson rates ahead, +4.9 to +4.0 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Samuelsson is surging, 5 P in last 5 (0.40/GP before); Chabot is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.09 (was 3.14).
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 5 A, 0 PPP, 13 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 19 SOG.
Buffalo Sabres · Ottawa Senators · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mattias Samuelsson
+4.9
category z-score total
Thomas Chabot
+4.0
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Mattias Samuelsson has the edge (Samuelsson wins 4, Chabot wins 2 of 6 categories).
| Category | Samuelsson | Chabot |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| Assists / game | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.42 | 1.88 |
| Hits / game | 1.52 | 0.60 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Chabot
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Samuelsson 0G 4A, 11 SOG · Chabot 0G 5A, 25 SOG
Samuelsson blocked 1 of Chabot's shots; Chabot blocked 0 of Samuelsson's.
On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)
10:42 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–12
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.3
- 40.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Samuelsson | Chabot |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | BUF 3–2 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-01 | BUF 5–2 OTT | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-25 | BUF 3–2 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-11 | BUF 5–3 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-31 | BUF 1–5 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-10-24 | BUF 6–4 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-01-01 | BUF 1–3 OTT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-10-13 | BUF 4–1 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-01-25 | BUF 0–5 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-01-18 | BUF 3–1 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 6S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Mattias Samuelsson
2games
3.4proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.8 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
Thomas Chabot
3games
5.8proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.9 ptsOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.8 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Thomas Chabot in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Chabot projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 1.88. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Chabot had 31 in 57 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Thomas Chabot?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Samuelsson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Samuelsson and Chabot done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 7–3. Samuelsson had 4 points (0 goals) and Chabot had 5 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →