Who to start · 2025-26
Nathan MacKinnon vs Robert Thomas
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Robert Thomas's 2.01.
MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games.
This week MacKinnon has 1 game left; Thomas has 2 left. We project Thomas for 3.7 ESPN points to MacKinnon's 2.8.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 28 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.0, Transition attempts /60 1.83, Hits 64.
Thomas's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Shorthanded points 3, Faceoff win % 52.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Thomas leads MacKinnon 62–52.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
3.17
fantasy points per game
Robert Thomas
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | MacKinnon | Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.32 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.93 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.44 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Thomas
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
MacKinnon 22G 31A, 157 SOG · Thomas 13G 18A, 57 SOG
MacKinnon's offensive zone 17–19 · neutral 19–25 · MacKinnon's defensive zone 16–18 (2019-20 to 2025-26)
MacKinnon blocked 2 of Thomas's shots; Thomas blocked 0 of MacKinnon's.
On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)
17:42 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side
- Shot attempts
- 25–17
- 59.5%
- Expected goals
- 1.5–1.5
- 50.8%
- Goals
- 2–3
Games against each other
| Date | Score | MacKinnon | Thomas |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | COL 3–1 STL | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-05 | COL 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 5S | 3G 0A 5S |
| 2025-12-31 | COL 6–1 STL | 2G 2A 7S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-05 | COL 4–5 STL | 1G 0A 7S | 1G 3A 1S |
| 2025-03-29 | COL 1–2 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2025-02-23 | COL 1–3 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-01-31 | COL 5–0 STL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-03-19 | COL 4–3 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-12-29 | COL 2–1 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-11 | COL 2–8 STL | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 4A 3S |
| 2023-11-01 | COL 4–1 STL | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-18 | COL 4–1 STL | 0G 2A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 38 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.8proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.8 ptsSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Robert Thomas
2games
3.7proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL1.8 ptsvs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.9 ptsOpp allows 11th-most FP to CSchedule edge −16.8 win%Likely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Robert Thomas in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Robert Thomas's 2.01. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Robert Thomas?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 28 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have MacKinnon and Thomas done against each other?
- In 38 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 22–16. MacKinnon had 53 points (22 goals) and Thomas had 31 (13 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, MacKinnon or Thomas?
- Against each other, MacKinnon has won 52 and Thomas 62 of their 114 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →