Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nathan MacKinnon vs Tyler Kleven

CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88)
Steady+1:36 TOI a game

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Kleven's 1.58.

MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Kleven had 18 in 70 games.

This week MacKinnon has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Kleven has 3 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 5.9 to Kleven's 4.3 over the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1054, Top skating speed 24.8, Ice time per game 22:16.

Kleven's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.058, Hits 126, Shorthanded points 2.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to +0.4 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88); Kleven is steady, +1:36 TOI a game.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 9 SOG.

Colorado Avalanche · Ottawa Senators · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nathan MacKinnon

+14.0

category z-score total

Tyler Kleven

+0.4

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (MacKinnon wins 5, Kleven wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMacKinnonKleven
Goals / game0.640.07
Assists / game0.960.18
Plus/minus / game0.430.06
Power-play points / game0.300.00
Shots on goal / game4.381.18
Hits / game0.681.92

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Kleven

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MacKinnonKleven
3Team record in 4 meetings1
7Points in those games3

MacKinnon 3G 4A, 14 SOG · Kleven 0G 3A, 5 SOG

On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)

3:26 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side

Shot attempts
4–1
80.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.1
51.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Nathan MacKinnon and Tyler Kleven
DateScoreMacKinnonKleven
2026-01-28COL 2–5 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2026-01-08COL 8–2 OTT1G 3A 5S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-20COL 5–1 OTT1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-27COL 5–4 OTT1G 1A 5S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MacKinnonKleven

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Nathan MacKinnon

4games (2 left)

5.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ PHI
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Tyler Kleven

3games

4.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs SJSB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DSchedule edge −11.8 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)

FAQ

Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Tyler Kleven in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Kleven's 1.58. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Kleven had 18 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Tyler Kleven?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have MacKinnon and Kleven done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 3–1. MacKinnon had 7 points (3 goals) and Kleven had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →