Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nathan MacKinnon vs Yegor Sharangovich

CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88)
SurgingixG/60 1.57 (was 0.50)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Yegor Sharangovich's 1.05.

MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Sharangovich had 29 in 78 games.

This week MacKinnon has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Sharangovich has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 5.9 to Sharangovich's 2.0 over the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 32 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Plus/minus +57, Scoring chances 59.3%, Expected goals 59.7%.

Sharangovich's biggest edges: Ascension score 79, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.24, Shorthanded points 1.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to -2.5 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88); Sharangovich is surging, ixG/60 1.57 (was 0.50).

  • • MacKinnon, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.
  • • Sharangovich, 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 16 SOG.

Colorado Avalanche · Calgary Flames · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nathan MacKinnon

+14.0

category z-score total

Yegor Sharangovich

-2.5

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (MacKinnon wins 6, Sharangovich wins 0 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMacKinnonSharangovich
Goals / game0.640.21
Assists / game0.960.20
Plus/minus / game0.43-0.21
Power-play points / game0.300.06
Shots on goal / game4.381.88
Hits / game0.680.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Sharangovich

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MacKinnonSharangovich
10Team record in 14 meetings4
25Points in those games5

MacKinnon 10G 15A, 54 SOG · Sharangovich 2G 3A, 22 SOG

3Faceoffs against each other1

MacKinnon's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–1 · MacKinnon's defensive zone 2–0 (2023-24 to 2024-25)

3Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)

20:24 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from MacKinnon's side

Shot attempts
21–27
43.8%
Expected goals
1.4–1.7
45.4%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Nathan MacKinnon and Yegor Sharangovich
DateScoreMacKinnonSharangovich
2026-10-08COL 7–3 CGY1G 2A 2S0G 1A 4S
2026-04-14COL 3–1 CGY1G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2026-04-09COL 3–1 CGY1G 2A 6S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-30COL 9–2 CGY1G 2A 5S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-31COL 2–3 CGY0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-14COL 4–2 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-06COL 4–2 CGY0G 3A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-12COL 6–2 CGY1G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-11COL 6–5 CGY1G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-25COL 3–1 CGY1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-01COL 5–7 NJD2G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2022-10-28COL 0–1 NJD0G 0A 7S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Faceoffs: MacKinnon vs Sharangovich

Model: Nathan MacKinnon wins 55.6% of draws against Yegor Sharangovich on average (R shot vs L shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.

Nathan MacKinnon's predicted win % against Yegor Sharangovich at each dot, in MacKinnon's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
MacKinnon atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home54%56%56%57%56%56%57%57%58%
Road53%55%54%56%55%54%56%55%57%

Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2024-25: MacKinnon 3–1 (75.0%). Blended with the model: 55.8%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z 0.8); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

MacKinnon faceoffs · Sharangovich faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MacKinnonSharangovich

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

MacKinnonSharangovich

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Colorado Avalanche logo

Nathan MacKinnon

4games (2 left)

5.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ PHI
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.4 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Calgary Flames logo

Yegor Sharangovich

2games

2.0proj. ESPN default pts

  • Thu, Oct 22 vs MIN1.0 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +3.0 win%Likely vs Calvin Pickard (.871)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs DET1.0 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Yegor Sharangovich in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Yegor Sharangovich's 1.05. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Sharangovich had 29 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Yegor Sharangovich?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 32 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have MacKinnon and Sharangovich done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 10–4. MacKinnon had 25 points (10 goals) and Sharangovich had 5 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, MacKinnon or Sharangovich?
Against each other, MacKinnon has won 3 and Sharangovich 1 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →