Who to start · 2025-26
Nathan MacKinnon vs Zach Metsa
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Zach Metsa's 0.73.
MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Metsa had 6 in 43 games.
This week MacKinnon has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Metsa has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 5.9 to Metsa's 1.5 over the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Ice time per game 22:16, Ice-time share 36.6%, Shots on goal 350.
Metsa's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.044, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Ascension score 47.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to -3.7 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88); Metsa is steady, Line Watch: moved up a line Oct 12.
- • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Colorado Avalanche · Buffalo Sabres · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
+14.0
category z-score total
Zach Metsa
-3.7
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (MacKinnon wins 6, Metsa wins 0 of 6 categories).
| Category | MacKinnon | Metsa |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.64 | 0.03 |
| Assists / game | 0.96 | 0.14 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.43 | 0.19 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal / game | 4.38 | 0.47 |
| Hits / game | 0.68 | 0.11 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head
Nathan MacKinnon and Zach Metsa have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
4games (2 left)
5.9proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 @ PHIOpp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
- Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.4 pts
Zach Metsa
2games
1.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI0.8 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH0.7 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Zach Metsa in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Zach Metsa's 0.73. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Metsa had 6 in 43 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Zach Metsa?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →

