Who to start · 2025-26
Noah Cates vs Warren Foegele
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Cates projects to 1.05 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Warren Foegele's 0.77.
Cates had 47 points in 82 games; Foegele had 17 in 68 games.
This week Cates has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Foegele has 3 left with 1 soft and 2 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Foegele for 2.6 to Cates's 2.2 over the games left.
Noah Cates has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Cates's biggest edges: Assists 29, Blocked shots 51, Faceoffs won 467.
Foegele's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.9, 20+ mph bursts 105, Forecheck xG /60 0.38.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Noah Cates rates ahead, -1.3 to -1.7 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Cates is falling, ixG/60 0.70 (was 1.03); Foegele is cooling, ixG/60 0.81 (was 1.13).
- • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
- • Last 10 games (Oct 1–Oct 19): 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
Philadelphia Flyers · Ottawa Senators · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Noah Cates
-1.3
category z-score total
Warren Foegele
-1.7
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Noah Cates has the edge (Cates wins 4, Foegele wins 2 of 6 categories).
| Category | Cates | Foegele |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Assists / game | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Hits / game | 1.06 | 1.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Cates vs Foegele
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Cates 2G 0A, 8 SOG · Foegele 2G 2A, 19 SOG
On the ice against each other (Cates's side)
5:00 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2026-27, from Cates's side
- Shot attempts
- 1–3
- 25.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.0
- 59.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Cates | Foegele |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | PHI 3–1 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-10-08 | PHI 1–2 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-29 | PHI 4–5 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-19 | PHI 3–7 LAK | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-10-19 | PHI 4–1 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-21 | PHI 2–4 EDM | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-09 | PHI 2–1 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Noah Cates
3games (2 left)
2.2proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 vs COLOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Wed, Oct 21 @ BUF1.1 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 vs ANA1.1 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Warren Foegele
3games
2.6proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA0.8 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR0.8 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Noah Cates or Warren Foegele in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Cates projects to 1.05 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Warren Foegele's 0.77. Cates had 47 points in 82 games; Foegele had 17 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Noah Cates or Warren Foegele?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Cates leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Cates and Foegele done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Cates's team went 3–4. Cates had 2 points (2 goals) and Foegele had 4 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →