Who to start · 2025-26
Noah Ostlund vs Sam Reinhart
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Ostlund's 1.13.
Ostlund had 27 points in 60 games; Reinhart had 61 in 64 games.
This week Ostlund has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Reinhart has 3 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Reinhart for 7.6 to Ostlund's 2.2 over the games left.
Sam Reinhart has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Ostlund's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Goals above expected +3.2, On-ice PDO 1030.
Reinhart's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Shots on goal 166, Ice time per game 21:17.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Sam Reinhart rates ahead, +6.7 to +0.6 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Ostlund is surging, ixG/60 0.99 (was 0.61); Reinhart is rising, 8 P in last 5 (0.70/GP before).
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 20 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 5 G, 3 A, 5 PPP, 29 SOG.
Buffalo Sabres · Florida Panthers · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Noah Ostlund
+0.6
category z-score total
Sam Reinhart
+6.7
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Sam Reinhart has the edge (Ostlund wins 1, Reinhart wins 5 of 6 categories).
| Category | Ostlund | Reinhart |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.20 | 0.49 |
| Assists / game | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.32 | -0.13 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.46 | 2.83 |
| Hits / game | 0.09 | 1.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Ostlund vs Reinhart
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ostlund 1G 1A, 6 SOG · Reinhart 2G 2A, 10 SOG
Ostlund's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Ostlund's defensive zone 0–0 (2026-27)
On the ice against each other (Ostlund's side)
15:48 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Ostlund's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–6
- 75.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.2
- 83.1%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ostlund | Reinhart |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | BUF 5–3 FLA | 1G 0A 3S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2026-02-27 | BUF 3–2 FLA | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-02-02 | BUF 5–3 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 6S |
Faceoffs: Ostlund vs Reinhart
Model: Noah Ostlund wins 43.7% of draws against Sam Reinhart on average (L shot vs R shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.
| Ostlund at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 44% | 42% | 46% | 43% | 44% | 46% | 43% | 47% | 44% |
| Road | 43% | 41% | 44% | 42% | 43% | 44% | 42% | 45% | 43% |
Head-to-head 2026-27: Ostlund 0–1 (0.0%). Blended with the model: 43.6%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.9); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Noah Ostlund
2games
2.2proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.3 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.0 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
Sam Reinhart
3games
7.6proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT2.4 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI2.8 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Noah Ostlund or Sam Reinhart in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Ostlund's 1.13. Ostlund had 27 points in 60 games; Reinhart had 61 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Noah Ostlund or Sam Reinhart?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sam Reinhart leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ostlund and Reinhart done against each other?
- In 3 games against each other in our data, Ostlund's team went 3–0. Ostlund had 2 points (1 goals) and Reinhart had 4 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Ostlund or Reinhart?
- Against each other, Ostlund has won 0 and Reinhart 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →