Who to start · 2025-26
Peyton Krebs vs Ryan McLeod
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Peyton Krebs projects to 1.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan McLeod's 1.01.
Krebs had 39 points in 82 games; McLeod had 54 in 81 games.
This week Krebs has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; McLeod has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Krebs for 2.0 to McLeod's 1.9 over the games left.
Ryan McLeod has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Krebs's biggest edges: Hits 201, Penalty minutes 78, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.013.
McLeod's biggest edges: Power-play time per game 1:35, Ice-time share 29.1%, Ice time per game 17:37.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Peyton Krebs rates ahead, -0.9 to -2.6 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Krebs is falling, On-ice xGF/60 1.55 (was 3.15); McLeod is cooling, −0:56 PP TOI.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
Buffalo Sabres · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Peyton Krebs
-0.9
category z-score total
Ryan McLeod
-2.6
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Peyton Krebs has the edge (Krebs wins 3, McLeod wins 3 of 6 categories).
| Category | Krebs | McLeod |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| Assists / game | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.02 | -0.06 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.01 | 0.05 |
| Shots on goal / game | 0.96 | 0.99 |
| Hits / game | 2.12 | 0.29 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Krebs vs McLeod
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Krebs 0G 0A, 1 SOG · McLeod 2G 3A, 5 SOG
Krebs's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–2 · Krebs's defensive zone 0–2 (2022-23 to 2023-24)
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice together
67:16 at 5-on-5 over 17 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 59–58
- 50.4%
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.8
- 52.4%
- Goals
- 1–4
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Krebs | McLeod |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-21 | BUF 3–8 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-09 | BUF 3–2 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-03-06 | BUF 2–3 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-10-18 | BUF 4–2 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-03-17 | BUF 1–6 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
Faceoffs: Krebs vs McLeod
Model: Peyton Krebs wins 46.2% of draws against Ryan McLeod on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Krebs at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 53% | 38% | 54% | 39% | 46% | 54% | 39% | 55% | 41% |
| Road | 52% | 37% | 53% | 38% | 46% | 53% | 38% | 54% | 39% |
Head-to-head 2023-24: Krebs 0–3 (0.0%). Blended with the model: 45.9%. The record is a bit unusual for this matchup (z -1.6); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
Chemistry as teammates
How their expected-goal share at 5v5 changed together vs apart (shrunk for sample size), and how closely their DraftKings points moved game to game (raw, that season only; for forward linemates the typical value is about .28).
| Season | 5v5 min together | xG% lift | xGF/60 lift | DK correlation (raw) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 BUF | 56 | +0.3 | −0.22 | .43(−.83 to .97), 4 GP |
| 2024-25 BUF | 122 | +1.9 | +0.22 | −.07(−.63 to .54), 9 GP |
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Peyton Krebs
2games
2.0proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.1 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH0.9 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
Ryan McLeod
2games
1.9proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.1 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH0.8 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Peyton Krebs or Ryan McLeod in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Peyton Krebs projects to 1.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan McLeod's 1.01. Krebs had 39 points in 82 games; McLeod had 54 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Peyton Krebs or Ryan McLeod?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan McLeod leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Krebs and McLeod done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Krebs's team went 2–3. Krebs had 0 points (0 goals) and McLeod had 5 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Krebs or McLeod?
- Against each other, Krebs has won 0 and McLeod 4 of their 4 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →