Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Ridly Greig vs Ryan McLeod

CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 1.57 (was 2.99)
Cooling−0:56 PP TOI

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ridly Greig projects to 1.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan McLeod's 1.01.

Greig had 35 points in 77 games; McLeod had 54 in 81 games.

This week Greig has 3 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; McLeod has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Greig for 3.5 to McLeod's 1.9 over the games left.

Ryan McLeod has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Greig's biggest edges: Hits 96, Penalty minutes 83, Transition attempts /60 1.08.

McLeod's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1030, Luck Meter +20, 20+ mph bursts 316.

Head to head on the dot, McLeod leads Greig 9–8.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Ridly Greig rates ahead, -0.2 to -2.6 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Greig is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.57 (was 2.99); McLeod is cooling, −0:56 PP TOI.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 7 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Ottawa Senators · Buffalo Sabres · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ridly Greig

-0.2

category z-score total

Ryan McLeod

-2.6

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Ridly Greig has the edge (Greig wins 4, McLeod wins 2 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryGreigMcLeod
Goals / game0.160.15
Assists / game0.240.35
Plus/minus / game0.20-0.06
Power-play points / game0.030.05
Shots on goal / game1.600.99
Hits / game1.120.29

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Greig vs McLeod

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GreigMcLeod
2Team record in 10 meetings8
7Points in those games11

Greig 3G 4A, 11 SOG · McLeod 5G 6A, 21 SOG

8Faceoffs against each other9

Greig's offensive zone 4–2 · neutral 1–5 · Greig's defensive zone 3–2 (2022-23 to 2025-26)

2Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Greig's side)

6:49 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Greig's side

Shot attempts
4–9
30.8%
Expected goals
0.1–1.0
5.7%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Ridly Greig and Ryan McLeod
DateScoreGreigMcLeod
2026-04-02OTT 4–1 BUF1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-23OTT 2–3 BUF1G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-15OTT 4–8 BUF0G 1A 0S2G 0A 5S
2025-04-01OTT 2–5 BUF0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-03-25OTT 2–3 BUF0G 1A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-09OTT 0–4 BUF0G 0A 1S1G 2A 5S
2024-11-05OTT 1–5 BUF1G 0A 3S0G 2A 0S
2024-03-24OTT 5–3 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-06OTT 1–3 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-11OTT 3–6 EDM0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S

Faceoffs: Greig vs McLeod

Model: Ridly Greig wins 47.9% of draws against Ryan McLeod on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Ridly Greig's predicted win % against Ryan McLeod at each dot, in Greig's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Greig atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home55%40%56%41%48%56%41%57%42%
Road54%38%55%40%48%55%40%56%41%

Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Greig 8–8 (50.0%). Blended with the model: 48.0%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z 0.2); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Greig faceoffs · McLeod faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GreigMcLeod

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Ottawa Senators logo

Ridly Greig

3games

3.5proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to Cvs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs SJSB2B1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge −11.8 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.0 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
Buffalo Sabres logo

Ryan McLeod

2games

1.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.1 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH0.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Ridly Greig or Ryan McLeod in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ridly Greig projects to 1.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan McLeod's 1.01. Greig had 35 points in 77 games; McLeod had 54 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ridly Greig or Ryan McLeod?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan McLeod leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Greig and McLeod done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Greig's team went 2–8. Greig had 7 points (3 goals) and McLeod had 11 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Greig or McLeod?
Against each other, Greig has won 8 and McLeod 9 of their 17 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →